Liga MX
Necaxa - Guadalajara
04/23/2026, 03:10 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.6
1.6
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
9%2:1
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Necaxa
Guadalajara
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
25%
平局
28%
客胜
46%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
54%
客胜或平局
75%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Dominant Away Form: Guadalajara has shown significantly improved offensive performance in recent games (currently averaging 3.2 goals compared to 2.0 season average) with 3 wins in their last 5 matches
- Tactical Superiority: Guadalajara demonstrated clear possession dominance averaging 64% and 9.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Table and Historical Gap: Guadalajara sits at the top of the table with 34 points, while Necaxa is in 12th place with 17 points, furthermore Guadalajara won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches
风险因素
- Guadalajara conceded an average of 1.92 goals per away game
- Guadalajara had only 4 days of rest since their last match
概述
Necaxa (12th place, 17 points) host Guadalajara (1st place, 34 points) in Liga MX on April 23, 2026, 5:05 AM
Guadalajara leads the table and is a clear favorite for the win
近期状态
Necaxa's form in the last 5 games is DWWLD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
Their last game ended in a draw
Guadalajara's form in the last 5 games is WWDLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Their last game ended in a win
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Necaxa scores an average of 1.31 goals per game and concedes 1.66 goals
Guadalajara scores an average of 1.88 goals per game and concedes 1.24 goals
Necaxa kept 3 clean sheets, Guadalajara kept 11 clean sheets
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 18 games for Necaxa and 22 games for Guadalajara
Necaxa's recent scoring (1.8) is higher than their season average (1.4)
Guadalajara's recent scoring (3.2) is higher than their season average (2.0)
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3 times and Necaxa won 2 times
Guadalajara scored a total of 10 goals, while Necaxa scored 7 goals
The last encounter on September 24, 2025, ended with a 3:1 away win for Guadalajara
Guadalajara has been the more dominant team in recent meetings
关键球员
For Necaxa, key players include Attacker Tomás Badaloni (8 goals, 2 assists, avg 6.84 rating, 3 goals in last 5 games), Midfielder Javier Ruiz (5 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.15 rating, 3 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games), and Defender Alexis Peña (2 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.72 rating, 1 goal in last 5 games)
For Guadalajara, crucial players are Attacker Armando González (24 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.05 rating, 3 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games), Defender Bryan Alonso González Oliván (6 goals, 5 assists, avg 6.98 rating, 3 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games), and Midfielder Efraín Álvarez (3 goals, 7 assists, avg 7.17 rating, 2 assists in last 5 games)
门将
Ezequiel Unsain (avg 6.74 rating) is in goal for Necaxa, with the team recording 3 clean sheets
For Guadalajara, Óscar Alexánder Whalley Guardado (avg 6.5 rating) is the goalkeeper, and the team has 11 clean sheets
影响因素
Necaxa scored an average of 1.31 home goals and conceded 1.06 home goals
Guadalajara scored an average of 1.92 away goals and conceded 1.92 away goals