🇲🇽

Liga MX

Tijuana - Pachuca

04/23/2026, 03:06 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Tijuana
1.0
Total xG
2.5
Pachuca
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%

2:1

6%

0:3

5%
xG 分解
TIJPAC

Tijuana

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.97
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.28
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.06
Mourad El Ghezouani替补席 (5球, 1助攻)

Pachuca

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.20
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.20
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.03
Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán替补席 (4球, 7助攻)
Kenedy替补席 (8球, 2助攻)
Oussama Idrissi替补席 (5球, 3助攻)
Elías Montiel未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Salomón Rondón替补席 (5球, 0助攻)
Sergio Damián Barreto替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
44%进球产出缺失 (仅56%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

23%

平局

29%

客胜

48%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

52%

客胜或平局

77%

非平局

71%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Pachuca with a probability of 48%
  • Pachuca's recent offensive strength averages 2.2 goals per game in recent form, compared to their season average of 1.5 goals
  • Tijuana's home defense is robust, allowing only 0.57 goals per game this season
风险因素
  • Pachuca has had only 4 days of rest since their last match
  • Tijuana averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Pachuca is significantly weakened by the absence of Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán, Kenedy, Oussama Idrissi, Elías Montiel, Salomón Rondón, and Sergio Damián Barreto, with only 57% of their usual goal threat available
概述

Tijuana (7th place, 24 points) host Pachuca (3rd place, 31 points) in a Liga MX match on April 23, 2026, 3:06 AM. Pachuca aims to solidify its top position, while Tijuana seeks to climb further up the table.

近期状态

Tijuana's recent form across all competitions is W L W W D, including 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last result was a 1-1 draw against Cruz Azul. Pachuca's form is D D W W W, showing 3 wins and 2 draws, with no losses. Their last result was a 3-1 away win against Monterrey. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Tijuana averages 1.46 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they concede significantly less, with an average of 0.57 goals per game, while scoring 1.43 goals. They have kept 12 clean sheets. Pachuca averages 1.44 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded per game. In away matches, they score an average of 1.44 goals and concede 1.31 goals. They have recorded 7 clean sheets. Tijuana has seen both teams score in 18 games and over 2.5 goals in 18 games. Pachuca has seen both teams score in 19 games and over 2.5 goals in 18 games.

历史交锋

In the last 5 direct encounters, Tijuana has won 2 matches and Pachuca has won 3. Pachuca holds a slight advantage in recent head-to-head history. Across these matches, Tijuana scored 9 goals, while Pachuca scored 11 goals. The last match between these teams on August 17, 2025, ended in a 2-0 victory for Tijuana.

关键球员

Tijuana's key players include Kevin Castañeda with 13 goals and 7 assists this season, Gilberto Mora with 5 goals and 1 assist, and Ramiro Árciga with 3 goals and 7 assists. For Pachuca, Enner Valencia has contributed 6 goals and 1 assist, Alexéi Domínguez has 2 goals and 3 assists, and Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez has 3 goals and 2 assists. Kevin Castañeda shows a stable form trend with 4 goals in his last 5 games. Jackson Porozo's rating has been rising in his last 3 games.

门将

Antonio Rodríguez, Tijuana's goalkeeper, has played 35 games this season and achieved 12 clean sheets. Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna, Pachuca's goalkeeper, has played 33 games this season and recorded 7 clean sheets.

影响因素

Tijuana exhibits a strong home defense, conceding only 0.57 goals per home game this season. They score an average of 1.43 goals in home matches. Pachuca scores an average of 1.44 goals and concedes an average of 1.31 goals in their away matches.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。