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Liga MX

Pumas UNAM - Juárez

04/22/2026, 01:00 AM

4 : 2
预期进球
Pumas UNAM
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Juárez
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
PUJUÁ

Pumas UNAM

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.10
状态上升 (2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.10
Adalberto Carrasquilla未进大名单 (2球, 5助攻)

Juárez

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.52
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.09
Óscar Estupiñán替补席 (15球, 3助攻)
Rodolfo Pizarro未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
49%进球产出缺失 (仅66%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

30%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Pumas UNAM is in excellent form with 2 consecutive wins
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 44% probability
  • Juárez has high defensive vulnerability away, conceding an average of 2.13 goals per game
风险因素
  • Only 67% of Juárez's usual starting eleven strength is available, without Óscar Estupiñán (15G/3A) and Rodolfo Pizarro (4G/2A)
  • Juárez has only 3 days rest since their last match
  • Pumas UNAM averaged 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Pumas UNAM (3rd place, 30 points) host Juárez (8th place, 23 points) in Liga MX on April 22, 2026, 1:00 AM

Pumas UNAM is battling for a strong playoff position

Juárez is looking to secure a playoff spot

近期状态

Pumas UNAM shows a form of DWDWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses in their last 5 matches

Juárez has a form of WDDLL

They achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Pumas UNAM won their last 2 games consecutively

Juárez lost their last 2 games consecutively

统计数据

Pumas UNAM averages 1.62 goals scored at home and concedes 1.06 goals per home game

Juárez averages 1.47 goals scored away but concedes 2.13 goals per away game

Pumas UNAM scored in 22 of 33 games, while Juárez scored in 29 of 36 games

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 16 of Pumas UNAM's 33 games

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 24 of Juárez's 36 games

Pumas UNAM is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.7)

Juárez's goal production is stagnant (1.2), compared to their season average of 1.5

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pumas UNAM secured 2 wins, Juárez 1 win, and there were 2 draws

Pumas UNAM scored 5 goals, and Juárez also scored 5 goals in these encounters

The last meeting on September 24, 2025, ended in a 3-1 victory for Juárez

The home team (Pumas UNAM) has been more dominant in recent head-to-head matches

关键球员

Juninho is a key offensive player for Pumas UNAM with 7 goals and 3 assists

Guillermo Martínez Ayala contributed 7 goals for Pumas UNAM

Robert Morales scored 5 goals and 1 assist for Pumas UNAM

José Luis Rodríguez is a crucial player for Juárez with 4 goals and 8 assists

Jairo Torres recorded 3 goals and 2 assists for Juárez

Denzell García has 3 goals and 2 assists for Juárez

门将

Pumas UNAM's goalkeeper Pablo Lara has made 0 appearances this season

Pumas UNAM has kept 9 clean sheets this season

Juárez's goalkeeper Sebastián Jurado has 0 goals or assists in 36 appearances

Juárez has kept 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Pumas UNAM has a strong home record with an average of 1.62 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded in home games

Juárez shows defensive vulnerability in away games, conceding an average of 2.13 goals per away game

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