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Liga MX

Puebla - Querétaro

04/25/2026, 03:00 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
Puebla
1.1
Total xG
1.9
Querétaro
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

11%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
PUEQUE

Puebla

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.86
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.16
Kevin Velasco未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)

Querétaro

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.57
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.41
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.08
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

35%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

58%

Under 1.5

42%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

65%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Form difference: Querétaro is unbeaten in the last 5 games, while Puebla suffered 4 losses
  • Offensive performance: Querétaro is currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals) than Puebla (0.6 goals)
  • Historical record: Querétaro dominated recent head-to-head matches with 3 wins in 5 games
风险因素
  • Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Puebla's goal production is stagnant (0.6 goals) according to Advanced Stats
  • Querétaro's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.64 goals per game
概述

Puebla (17th place, 13 points) host Querétaro (12th place, 20 points) in Liga MX on April 25, 2026, 4:00 AM

Puebla is fighting relegation, while Querétaro aims to establish itself in the upper half of the table

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 39% probability, a draw with 35%, and an away win with 26%

近期状态

Puebla's current form across all competitions is poor with LDLLL

They have achieved 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last five matches

The last result was a 1-2 away loss against Monterrey, followed by a 0-5 away loss against Guadalajara

Querétaro's form is strong with WDWDD

They recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses in their last five matches

The last game ended in a 1-1 home draw against Cruz Azul, preceded by a 1-1 away draw against Mazatlán

Puebla's form trend is negative, while Querétaro shows a positive trend

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Puebla averaged 1.0 goal scored per game and conceded 2.0 goals per game this season

In home games, Puebla's average goals scored is 1.0 and goals conceded is 1.58

Querétaro averaged 1.03 goals scored per game and conceded 1.48 goals per game

In away games, Querétaro averaged 1.0 goal scored and conceded 2.64 goals

For Puebla, 17 matches ended with both teams scoring and 20 matches had over 2.5 goals

For Querétaro, 16 matches ended with both teams scoring and 16 matches had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head matches, Puebla secured 1 win, Querétaro claimed 3 wins, and there was 1 draw

Querétaro scored 9 goals and Puebla scored 4 goals, highlighting Querétaro's dominance in this period

The last encounter on October 4, 2025, resulted in a 3-1 away victory for Querétaro

Querétaro has been the dominant team in recent direct matchups

关键球员

For Puebla, Emiliano Gómez is an important attacker this season with 8 goals and 5 assists, although his form is slightly declining (season avg 6.9, last 5 avg 6.62)

Defender Fernando Monárrez has been stable with 1 goal and 3 assists in 23 appearances

Esteban Lozano, another attacker, scored 3 season goals in 27 appearances, but his form is declining (season avg 6.72, last 5 avg 6.21)

Querétaro can rely on Alí Ávila, who scored 10 goals in 23 games and shows stable form (season avg 6.86, last 5 avg 7.02)

Defender Santiago Homenchenko is also a key player with 6 season goals in 27 games and displays stable form (season avg 7.11, last 5 avg 7.11)

Attacker Mateo Coronel scored 5 goals in 23 appearances and his form is rising (season avg 6.62, last 5 avg 6.88)

门将

Daniel Gutiérrez is Puebla's goalkeeper with 16 appearances and an average rating of 6.93

Puebla has recorded a total of 6 clean sheets this season

José Hernández is Querétaro's goalkeeper with 12 appearances and an average rating of 6.66

Querétaro has recorded a total of 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Puebla scores an average of 1.0 goal and concedes 1.58 goals in home matches

Querétaro scores an average of 1.0 goal and concedes 2.64 goals in away matches

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