🇲🇽

Liga MX

América - Atlas

04/26/2026, 03:10 AM

0 : 1
预期进球
América
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Atlas
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
AMÉATL

América

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.57
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.43
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.08
Jonathan dos Santos未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Ramón Juárez替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Atlas

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.47
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.34
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.25
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
Arturo González替补席 (5球, 0助攻)
Gustavo Henrique Ferrareis未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

31%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

69%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • América's Home Strength: The mathematical model predicts a home win with 46% probability
  • Historical Dominance: América won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atlas, scoring 16 goals
  • Atlas's Defensive Vulnerability: The team concedes an average of 2.58 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Short Recovery Time for Atlas: The away team had only 3 days since their last match
  • Limited Offensive Production from Atlas: The team averaged only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

América (4th place, 34 points) hosts Atlas (8th place, 23 points) in a Liga MX match

The game is scheduled for April 26, 2026, 4:00 AM

América aims to solidify its top league position, while Atlas seeks to improve towards playoff spots

近期状态

América's form in the last five games is LDDWW

The team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss during this period

They have won their last two matches consecutively

According to advanced statistics, América's goal production has recently declined to 1.4 goals, compared to a season average of 1.7 goals

Atlas shows a form of DLDWD in their last five encounters

This translates to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

Atlas's goal production has recently dropped to 0.5 goals, with a season average of 1.3 goals

统计数据

América averages 1.57 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.06 goals

At home, these values improve to an average of 1.58 goals scored and only 0.84 goals conceded

América has kept 7 clean sheets in home games

Atlas averages 1.18 goals scored per game and concedes 1.61 goals

Atlas's defense is vulnerable away from home, with an average of 2.58 goals conceded per game

Overall, both teams scored in 19 of América's games and 17 of Atlas's games

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 17 of América's games and 16 of Atlas's games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América dominated with 4 wins compared to 0 for Atlas

One match ended in a draw

The goal difference in these fixtures is 16:5 in favor of América

América won the last encounter at home with a score of 4:2 on August 25, 2025

关键球员

For América, Brian Rodríguez is a crucial player with 13 goals and 6 assists this season

His form shows a rising trend with 3 goals in his last 4 appearances

Álex Zendejas contributes to the offense with 9 goals and 6 assists, and recorded 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games

Érick Sánchez is important in midfield with 3 season goals and 1 goal in his last 4 appearances

For Atlas, Diego González is a key player with 6 goals and 6 assists this season

Manuel Capasso, a defender, scored 2 season goals, including 1 in his last 5 appearances, and shows a rising form

Paulo Ramírez contributed 2 goals this season

门将

Rodolfo Cota of América made 9 appearances as goalkeeper this season

América has kept a total of 11 clean sheets this season, with 7 of those at home

Camilo Vargas of Atlas played in 30 games this season

Atlas managed to keep 9 clean sheets this season, 2 of which were away from home

影响因素

América shows solid performance at home with an average of 1.58 goals scored and only 0.84 goals conceded

Atlas, however, has a very vulnerable defense away from home, conceding an average of 2.58 goals per game

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。