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Liga MX

Juárez - Atlético San Luis

04/26/2026, 03:00 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Juárez
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Atlético San Luis
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
JUÁASL

Juárez

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+0.12
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.10
Óscar Estupiñán未进大名单 (15球, 3助攻)
Rodolfo Pizarro未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)

Atlético San Luis

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Jesús Medina未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

27%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

73%

双方进球

是

54%

否

46%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Juárez with a 53% probability
  • Juárez's Form Crisis: The home team recently recorded 3 consecutive losses ('LLL')
  • Atlético San Luis' Stability: The away team has shown better recent form with 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games
风险因素
  • Limited Preparation: Atlético San Luis had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Offensive Weakening for Juárez: Óscar Estupiñán (15G/3A) and Rodolfo Pizarro (4G/2A) are missing from the lineup
  • Low Shot on Target Efficiency for Juárez: The home team recently averaged 3.4 shots on target
概述

Juárez (8th place, 23 points) hosts Atlético San Luis (13th place, 18 points) in Liga MX on April 26, 2026, 5:00 AM

Juárez aims to solidify its position in the upper mid-table

While Atlético San Luis seeks to widen the gap to the relegation spots

近期状态

Juárez shows a 'DDLLL' form in their last 5 games

Which corresponds to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

The team recently recorded 3 consecutive losses

Atlético San Luis has a 'LWDLW' form

With 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Atlético San Luis secured a win in their most recent game

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Juárez averages 1.49 goals scored and 1.76 goals conceded per game this season

At home, they average 1.48 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded

Atlético San Luis averages 1.45 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded per match

Away from home, they average 1.47 goals scored and 1.65 goals conceded

Juárez kept 3 clean sheets this season, while Atlético San Luis recorded 7

For Juárez, 30 games ended with both teams scoring and 25 games had over 2.5 goals

For Atlético San Luis, there were 21 BTTS games and 19 games with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 past head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3 times and Atlético San Luis won 2 times

With no draws

Both teams scored 10 goals each in these encounters

The last meeting on November 01, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Juárez against Atlético San Luis

关键球员

For Juárez, José Luis Rodríguez (4 goals, 9 assists, Avg. 7.02), Denzell García (3 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.88), and Jairo Torres (4 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.70) are key offensive players

For Atlético San Luis, João Pedro (25 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.20), Sébastien Salles-Lamonge (5 goals, 6 assists, Avg. 7.20), and Benjamín Galdames (3 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.64) stand out

门将

Juárez's goalkeeper, Sebastián Jurado, recorded 3 clean sheets this season

For Atlético San Luis, goalkeeper Andrés Sánchez kept his goal inviolate in 7 matches

影响因素

Juárez scores an average of 1.48 goals and concedes 1.38 goals at home

Atlético San Luis scores an average of 1.47 goals and concedes 1.65 goals away

The dataset does not contain information about the specific venue, weather, or surface impact

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