Liga MX
Tigres UANL - Mazatlán
04/25/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.3
0.7
1:0
14%2:0
13%1:1
12%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
59%
平局
27%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
41%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Tigres UANL's strong home record with an average of 1.74 home goals and only 0.61 home goals conceded contrasts with Mazatlán's away defense conceding an average of 2.9 goals
- The mathematical analysis clearly favors Tigres UANL with a high home win probability of 59%
- Mazatlán is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals), indicating an improved offense
风险因素
- Tigres UANL has only 2 days of rest since their last match
- Mazatlán has only 2 days of rest since their last match
- Mazatlán concedes an average of 2.9 goals per away game
概述
Tigres UANL (2nd place, 36 points) host Mazatlán (16th place, 15 points) in Liga MX
Match on April 25, 2026, 6:00 PM
The mathematical analysis identifies Tigres UANL as favorites with a home win probability of 59%
近期状态
Tigres UANL's form across all competitions is LLWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches
The last game ended in a 0-0 draw against Atlas
Mazatlán shows form DLLDW across all competitions
They achieved one win, two draws, and two losses
The team won their last game 4-3 against Toluca
统计数据
Tigres UANL averages 1.72 goals scored and 1.03 goals conceded per game this season
At home, Tigres UANL averages 1.74 goals scored and 0.61 goals conceded
Mazatlán averages 1.24 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded per game this season
Away from home, Mazatlán averages 1.2 goals scored and 2.9 goals conceded
Tigres UANL kept 14 clean sheets, Mazatlán kept 2 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 22 of Tigres UANL's games, and in 25 of Mazatlán's games
19 of Tigres UANL's games ended with over 2.5 goals, compared to 20 for Mazatlán
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres UANL won 3, Mazatlán won 1, and there was 1 draw
Tigres UANL scored 12 goals, while Mazatlán scored 8 goals
The last encounter on August 24, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw
Tigres UANL has been more dominant in recent direct encounters
关键球员
Juan Brunetta is a key midfielder for Tigres UANL with 16 goals, 8 assists, and an average rating of 7.48
Ángel Correa contributed significantly with 15 goals and 8 assists (average rating 7.21)
Diego Lainez (6 goals, 7 assists, average rating 7.12) shows a declining form trend
Not nominated for Tigres UANL are Ozziel Herrera (6 Goals/3 Assists), Rodrigo Aguirre (1 Goal/2 Assists), Joaquim Henrique Pereira Silva (2 Goals/1 Assist), and Fernando Gorriarán (1 Goal/1 Assist)
For Mazatlán, Facundo Almada is a key defender with 6 goals and 3 assists (average rating 6.91)
Josué Ovalle (5 goals, 1 assist, average rating 6.86) and Brian Rubio (4 goals, 0 assists, average rating 6.9) are also important attackers
Lucas Merolla (0 Goals/2 Assists) is not nominated for Mazatlán
门将
Nahuel Guzmán is the goalkeeper for Tigres UANL with an average rating of 7.12
Tigres UANL recorded 14 clean sheets this season
Ricardo Rodríguez is the goalkeeper for Mazatlán with an average rating of 7.20
Mazatlán achieved 2 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Tigres UANL shows a clear home advantage with an average of 1.74 goals scored and only 0.61 goals conceded in home games
Mazatlán concedes an average of 2.9 goals per away game, indicating significant defensive weakness