Friendly International

Japan - Iceland

05/31/2026, 10:25 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Japan
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Iceland
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
JAPICE

Japan

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.36
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.5倍)
+1.19
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.77
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第19位 vs 第74位, 相差55位)
+0.11
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.10
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.10
K. Mitoma未进大名单 (1球, 0助攻)
50%进球产出缺失 (仅50%可用)

Iceland

排名劣势 (第74位 vs 第19位, 相差55位)
-0.17
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.08
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.07
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

28%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

72%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Japan's excellent form with five consecutive wins and no goals conceded
  • Iceland's defensive vulnerability with an average of 2.33 goals conceded per game this season
  • The absence of K. Mitoma for Japan, leaving only 50% of the goal production available
风险因素
  • Iceland averaged 2.2 shots on target in their last 4 games, indicating few attempts on goal
  • Iceland conceded an average of 2.33 goals per away game this season
概述

Japan hosts Iceland at the Grenada National Stadium for a Friendly International match on May 31, 2026, 12:25 PM. Mathematical analysis shows a 51% probability of a Japan win, while a draw is at 28% and an Iceland win at 21%

近期状态

Japan shows excellent form with five consecutive wins (WWWWW)

They conceded no goals in their last five matches, scoring a total of 10 goals

Iceland has only one win in their last four games, along with two draws and one loss (WLDD)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Japan scored an average of 1.0 goal per game this season and conceded no goals in 2 matches

Iceland has a goal average of 1.0 per game this season but conceded an average of 2.33 goals in 3 matches

Japan recorded 2 clean sheets in 2 season games and no games where both teams scored

Iceland failed to keep any clean sheets in 3 season games and both teams scored in 2 matches

历史交锋

No head-to-head data is available for these two teams

关键球员

For Japan, Keito Nakamura, Junya Ito, and Ayase Ueda are key attacking players

Keito Nakamura was involved in 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games with stable form

Junya Ito scored 2 goals in his last 4 games with stable form

Ayase Ueda showed a rising form trend with 3 goals in his last 4 games

For Iceland, Kristian Hlynsson, Dagur Dan Thórshallsson, and Logi Tómasson are important players

Kristian Hlynsson scored 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games with rising form

Dagur Dan Thórshallsson scored once in his last 3 games with rising form

Logi Tómasson shows a rising form in his last 3 games

门将

Japan's goalkeeper Zion Suzuki kept 2 clean sheets in 2 games this season

Iceland's goalkeeper Hákon Valdimarsson failed to keep any clean sheets in 1 season game

影响因素

The match will be played on a grass surface at Grenada National Stadium

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