Friendly International

Portugal - Nigeria

06/10/2026, 07:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Portugal
2.1
Total xG
3.3
Nigeria
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

3:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
PORNIG

Portugal

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.76倍)
+1.01
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.85
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第45位, 相差40位)
+0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
-0.10

Nigeria

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.74倍)
+0.75
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.37
排名劣势 (第45位 vs 第5位, 相差40位)
-0.21
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.06
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.32
+0.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

23%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

77%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Portugal with a 57% probability
  • Portugal's strong home offense averages 3.00 goals per game
  • Portugal tactically dominated in the last 5 games with an average of 69% possession and 7.0 shots on target
风险因素
  • Only 63% of Nigeria's usual starting XI strength is available
  • Nigeria averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Portugal host Nigeria at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa

Friendly International match on June 10, 2026, 9:45 PM

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Portugal shows good form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from the last 5 games (LWDWW)

The team has achieved 2 consecutive wins recently

Nigeria has a form of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (LWDWD)

Their last match ended in a draw

统计数据

Portugal has averaged 3.33 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.17 goals

Portugal kept 2 clean sheets in 6 matches

Nigeria scored an average of 1.67 goals per game and conceded 0.83 goals

The team recorded 3 clean sheets in 12 matches

For Portugal, over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 6 matches

Nigeria saw both teams score in 9 out of 12 matches

At home, Portugal averages 3.00 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded

Away, Nigeria averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded

历史交锋

No data available on previous head-to-head encounters

关键球员

For Portugal, the following players stand out

Cristiano Ronaldo scored 5 goals in the last 5 games with a rising form trend

Bruno Fernandes contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games, showing stable form

Pedro Neto recorded 3 assists in the last 5 games and has a rising form trend

For Nigeria, these players are notable

Akor Adams scored 2 goals in the last 5 games with a rising form trend

Moses Simon scored once in his last 3 appearances and has a stable form trend

Alex Iwobi shows a good rating of 6.81 with a rising form trend in his last 5 appearances

门将

Diogo Costa is the goalkeeper for Portugal

Portugal has recorded 2 clean sheets this season

Maduka Okoye is the goalkeeper for Nigeria

Maduka Okoye showed a rising form trend and a rating of 7.17 in his last 4 appearances

Nigeria achieved 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Portugal demonstrates a strong offense at home with an average of 3.00 goals scored

Their defense allows only 0.75 goals conceded on average in their home stadium

Nigeria scores an average of 1.75 goals away from home

The team concedes an average of 1.25 goals on the road

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