La Liga
Valencia - Real Madrid
02/08/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.0
3.2
2.2
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
23%
平局
19%
客胜
58%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
39%
双重机会
主胜或平局
42%
客胜或平局
77%
非平局
82%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- Offensive Superiority: Real Madrid's attack, led by Kylian Mbappé (22 goals), is in a different league compared to Valencia's offense
- Form and League Standing: Second-placed Real Madrid is in outstanding form, while Valencia in 17th is battling relegation
- Historical Dominance: Real Madrid has clearly dominated recent head-to-head encounters, including a 4-0 win in the last match
风险因素
- Key Absences for Real Madrid: The absence of key players like Vinicius Júnior and Jude Bellingham could weaken their attack
- Valencia's Home Strength: Valencia concedes significantly fewer goals at home (0.79 per game) than their season average
- Unpredictability at Mestalla: The 100% BTTS statistic in recent home games suggests open matches that could go either way
概述
Valencia (17th place, 23 points) hosts Real Madrid (2nd place, 54 points) at the Estadio de Mestalla
The La Liga match will take place on February 8, 2026, at 9:00 PM
Valencia aims to move away from the relegation zone, while Real Madrid wants to maintain pressure on the top of the table
近期状态
Valencia: WWWLL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
Real Madrid: WWWLW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss)
Real Madrid is in superior form with four wins from their last five matches
Valencia's form has recently dipped with two consecutive losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Real Madrid's offense, averaging 2.14 goals per game, is significantly stronger than Valencia's at 1.05 goals
Defensively, Real Madrid is also superior, conceding only 0.82 goals per game, while Valencia concedes 1.59
Valencia's home defense is relatively solid, conceding only 0.79 goals per game
The Estadio de Mestalla has seen an average of 2.8 goals/game and a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 encounters, Real Madrid has dominated with 3 wins to Valencia's one, with one draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Real Madrid with 14:6 goals
The last duel ended in a decisive 4-0 victory for Real Madrid
关键球员
Hugo Duro is Valencia's top scorer with 7 goals this season
Pepelu and Arnaut Danjuma are other key offensive players for the home team
For Real Madrid, Kylian Mbappé is the standout player with an impressive 22 season goals
Arda Güler has established himself as a key playmaker with 7 assists
门将
Valencia's goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Real Madrid's Thibaut Courtois has a significantly better record with 10 clean sheets
影响因素
Valencia's home advantage could play a role defensively, as they concede only 0.79 goals per game at home
Historical data from the stadium shows a remarkable tendency for games where both teams score (100% in the last 5 matches)
On a grass surface, Real Madrid has a far better record with 8 wins out of 10 games compared to Valencia's 4 wins