Friendly International

Peru - Spain

06/09/2026, 02:00 AM

1 : 3
预期进球
Peru
1.3
Total xG
2.7
Spain
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
PERSPA

Peru

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-1.37
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+1.10
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.26
排名劣势 (第48位 vs 第1位, 相差47位)
-0.23
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.2 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
+0.08

Spain

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.57倍)
+1.97
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.72
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.29
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1球)
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第48位, 相差47位)
+0.10

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.32
+0.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

29%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: Spain has a slightly higher win probability of 37% compared to 34% for Peru
  • Spain's Defense: Only 0.33 goals conceded per game and 2 clean sheets on season average
  • Tactical Dominance: Spain in the last 5 matches possession-dominant (66%) and averaged 6.8 shots on target (offensively strong)
风险因素
  • Peru's short recovery time: Only 3 days of rest since the last match
  • Spain's slowing goal production: Currently 2.5 goals, season average is 3.1
  • Peru's low shot on target efficiency: Averaged 2.8 shots on target in the last 5 matches
概述

Peru will host Spain in a Friendly International match at Estadio Cuauhtémoc on June 9, 2026, 3:00 AM. This game serves as preparation for both teams and an opportunity to fine-tune their squads. Mathematical predictions suggest a balanced encounter, with a slightly higher win probability for Spain at 37% compared to 34% for Peru.

近期状态

Peru's current form (DLLDW) across all competitions shows a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Peru won their last match. Spain's form (WDWDD) over the last five games includes 2 wins and 3 draws, remaining undefeated; their last match ended in a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Peru has averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game. Spain maintains a season average of 1.33 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per game, with 2 clean sheets. Matches at Estadio Cuauhtémoc have seen an average of 2.2 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches.

历史交锋

No data on previous head-to-head encounters between Peru and Spain is available in the provided dataset.

关键球员

For Peru, Jairo Vélez stands out with 3 season goals and an average rating of 7.29 in 3 appearances, Renzo Garcés with 1 season goal in one appearance, and Yoshimar Yotún with 1 season assist and an average rating of 7.03 in 3 appearances. For Spain, Ferran Torres has 1 season goal and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.27 in 3 appearances, Mikel Oyarzabal boasts 2 season goals in one appearance, and Pau Cubarsí has 1 season assist in one appearance.

门将

Peru's goalkeeper, Pedro Gallese, has played in 3 season matches with an average rating of 6.57, recording 0 clean sheets. For Spain, goalkeeper Unai Simón played in one season match with an average rating of 7.39, contributing to 2 clean sheets for his team.

影响因素

Estadio Cuauhtémoc, a grass pitch, has seen an average of 2.2 goals per game in its last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games. Peru's home performance this season includes 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。