Friendly International

Argentina - Iceland

06/10/2026, 01:00 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
Argentina
2.5
Total xG
3.1
Iceland
0.6
最可能的比分

2:0

14%

3:0

12%

2:1

8%

1:1

8%

4:0

7%
xG 分解
ARGICE

Argentina

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-1.21
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.02倍)
+1.20
状态上升 (3.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.72
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.65
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.55
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第74位, 相差71位)
+0.18
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
全员可用

Iceland

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.84
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.51
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.20
排名劣势 (第74位 vs 第3位, 相差71位)
-0.11
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

78%

平局

16%

客胜

6%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

94%

客胜或平局

22%

非平局

84%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis sees Argentina as clear favorites with a 78% win probability
  • Form: Argentina won their last 5 games, while Iceland failed to win any of their last 5 away matches
  • Tactics: Argentina showed dominance in their last 5 games with an average of 70% possession and 7.8 shots on target
  • Squad Impact: Only 23% of Iceland's usual goal production is available, significantly weakening their attack
风险因素
  • Fatigue: Argentina has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Tactics: Iceland averaged only 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
  • Squad Impact: Only 65% of Argentina's usual starting eleven strength is available
概述

Argentina host Iceland at Laugardalsvöllur for a Friendly International match on June 10, 2026, 3:00 AM. The match indicates a clear favorite role for Argentina, while Iceland enters as an underdog. This is an international friendly where teams test their form.

近期状态

Argentina is in outstanding form with 5 consecutive wins (Form: WWWWW)

They won their last match 2-0 against Honduras

Iceland, however, is in a difficult phase with 3 losses and 2 draws in their last 5 games (Form: LLDDL)

They lost their last match 0-1 against Japan

统计数据

Argentina averages 1.72 goals scored per game this season and concedes only 0.56 goals

At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 1.67 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded

Iceland has a higher scoring rate of 2.17 goals per game but also concedes 1.83 goals

Away from home, Iceland is defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 4.00 goals and scoring 3.00 goals

Matches at Laugardalsvöllur see an average of 4.0 goals per game

In 4 out of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and 4 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

The two teams have only met once before

The sole encounter on June 16, 2018, ended in a 1-1 draw

Both teams scored 1 goal each in that match

The historical record is even

关键球员

For Argentina, José Manuel López stands out in attack with 2 goals in his last 5 games

Giuliano Simeone showed stable form with 1 goal in his last 5 games

Nico Paz has stable form with 1 assist in his last 5 games

For Iceland, Orri Óskarsson is an important attacker with 4 goals in his last 5 games

Victor Pálsson recently scored 1 goal

Hákon Arnar Haraldsson contributed 1 goal in his last 4 games

门将

Gerónimo Rulli is in goal for Argentina

Argentina has recorded 11 clean sheets this season

Elías Ólafsson is the goalkeeper for Iceland

Iceland has achieved 2 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at Laugardalsvöllur

Argentina's home strength is reflected in an average of 1.67 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded at home

Iceland's away weakness is underlined by an average of 4.00 goals conceded away from home

The venue is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 4.0 goals per game

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。