Friendly International

Bolivia - Scotland

06/06/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 4
预期进球
Bolivia
1.1
Total xG
2.6
Scotland
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
BOLSCO

Bolivia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.39倍)
-1.34
防守不足 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.99
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.87
排名劣势 (第77位 vs 第43位, 相差34位)
-0.20
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.05
Fernando Nava未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅33%可用)

Scotland

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.82倍)
+1.32
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-1.01
排名优势 (第43位 vs 第77位, 相差34位)
+0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.02
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.00
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.37
+0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

29%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

71%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Bolivia will play with only 33% of their usual starting XI's goal threat, without Fernando Nava
  • Scotland's possession-dominant play (59% possession) with an average of 5.8 shots on target
  • The mathematical analysis predicts Scotland as the favored team with a win probability of 44%
风险因素
  • B. Gilmour (Knee Injury) is absent for Scotland
  • Bolivia's low goal production of an average of 0.8 goals per game
概述

Bolivia host Scotland in a Friendly International at Estadio Hernando Siles on June 6, 2026, 9:00 PM. This match offers both teams an opportunity to test their squads and improve team cohesion under competitive conditions.

近期状态

Bolivia's form in their last five matches is LLDLW (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their last game was a 3-0 win against Trinidad and Tobago. Scotland's form over their last five matches is LWLLW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). They won their last match 4-1 against Curacao. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Bolivia has scored an average of 1.33 goals per home game this season and conceded 0.67 goals. They kept one clean sheet at home. Scotland has scored an average of 1.33 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 1.00 goals. Scotland has not kept any clean sheets this season. According to advanced stats, Bolivia consistently scores around 0.8 goals per game, while Scotland consistently scores around 2.2 goals per game.

历史交锋

No previous head-to-head matches between Bolivia and Scotland are listed in the provided dataset.

关键球员

For Bolivia: Luis Haquín has 1 season goal with an average rating of 6.69. Miguelito showed 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.41. Ervin Vaca has a season average rating of 6.40 and a last-5 average rating of 6.43.

For Scotland: Lawrence Shankland has 2 season goals with an average rating of 8.63. Ryan Christie recorded 1 season goal and 1 season assist with an average rating of 7.30. Scott McTominay scored 2 goals in his last 5 games with a season average rating of 6.91.

门将

Bolivia's goalkeeper Guillermo Viscarra has achieved 1 clean sheet this season and has an average rating of 6.50. Scotland's goalkeeper Angus Gunn has 0 clean sheets this season and an average rating of 7.67.

影响因素

The match will be played on a grass surface at Estadio Hernando Siles. Bolivia shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.33 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded.

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