Friendly International

Switzerland - Australia

06/06/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Switzerland
2.3
Total xG
3.6
Australia
1.2
最可能的比分

2:1

10%

3:1

7%

3:0

6%

2:2

6%

1:2

5%
xG 分解
SWIAUS

Switzerland

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.09倍)
+0.62
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.18
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.16
排名优势 (第17位 vs 第25位, 相差8位)
+0.09
防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.04
Breel Embolo未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)

Australia

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.42
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.38
排名劣势 (第25位 vs 第17位, 相差8位)
-0.11
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.38
+0.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

21%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

69%

Under 2.5

31%

Over 3.5

48%

Under 3.5

52%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

79%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • Prediction: The mathematical analysis identifies Switzerland as a clear favorite with a 61% win probability
  • Venue: Snapdragon Stadium is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 4.8 goals per game
  • Offensive Strength: Switzerland has consistently scored an average of ~3.8 goals per game recently
风险因素
  • Data availability: There are no historical head-to-head records for these teams
  • Australia's offensive performance: Australia averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating limited attacking pressure
概述

Switzerland and Australia meet in a Friendly International match at Snapdragon Stadium

The game takes place on June 6, 2026, 9:00 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a win for Switzerland with a probability of 61%

The model expects 2.34 goals for Switzerland and 1.22 goals for Australia

近期状态

Switzerland's form in the last five matches is WWLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This accounts for 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last match was a 4-1 victory against Jordan

Australia shows a form of LLWWL

This means 2 wins and 3 losses

The last result was a 0-1 defeat against Mexico

统计数据

Switzerland scores an average of 2.33 goals per game this season and concedes 1.67 goals

The team kept 1 clean sheet

Both teams scored in 2 matches, and 2 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

Australia scores an average of 2 goals per game and concedes 0.67 goals

Australia kept 1 clean sheet

Both teams scored in 1 match, and 1 match ended with over 2.5 goals

Snapdragon Stadium records an average of 4.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches (80%), and over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 matches (100%)

关键球员

For Switzerland, Granit Xhaka (1 goal, 1 assist, avg 7.5 rating), Dan Ndoye (2 goals, avg 6.86 rating), and Michel Aebischer (1 assist, avg 6.84 rating) are crucial

Breel Embolo (2 goals, 0 assists) is not in the starting lineup, accounting for 9% of the usual goal threat

For Australia, Nestory Irankunda (2 goals, avg 7.35 rating), Alessandro Circati (1 goal, avg 7.08 rating), and Lucas Herrington (avg 6.69 rating) are important players

门将

Switzerland's goalkeeper, Gregor Kobel, recorded 1 clean sheet this season

Australia's goalkeeper, Patrick Beach, kept 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

Snapdragon Stadium is known for high goal numbers, with an average of 4.8 goals per game

All matches saw over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of them

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