Friendly International

Ecuador - Saudi Arabia

05/31/2026, 12:00 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Ecuador
1.6
Total xG
2.4
Saudi Arabia
0.8
最可能的比分

1:0

13%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
ECUSA

Ecuador

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.80
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.49
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.33
排名优势 (第24位 vs 第59位, 相差35位)
+0.11
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.08
44%进球产出缺失 (仅41%可用)

Saudi Arabia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.67
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.45
排名劣势 (第59位 vs 第24位, 相差35位)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

28%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

72%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Ecuador with 55% probability
  • Weak offense: Saudi Arabia has 0% of its usual starting XI goal-scoring threat available
  • Form difference: Ecuador is unbeaten in their last 5 games, while Saudi Arabia has three consecutive losses
风险因素
  • Limited goal threat: Ecuador has only 42% of its usual starting XI goal-scoring threat available
  • Offensive weakness: Saudi Arabia averaged 1.2 shots on target in recent matches (few attempts)
  • Defensive vulnerability: Saudi Arabia conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game this season
概述

Ecuador hosts Saudi Arabia in a Friendly International match at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa on May 30, 2026, 01:30 AM. This encounter offers both teams an opportunity to test their form outside of league competition. It is an international friendly with no league table implications

近期状态

Ecuador is undefeated in their last five matches with a form of D-D-W-D-D (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team achieved one win and four draws

Saudi Arabia's recent form is W-W-L-L-L from their last five games

They secured two wins and three losses, including three consecutive defeats

统计数据

Ecuador has scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 1.0 goals

In two matches, both teams scored (BTTS), and no match had over 2.5 goals

According to advanced statistics, Ecuador consistently scores approximately 1.2 goals per game

Saudi Arabia has scored an average of 0.5 goals and conceded 3.0 goals per game this season

One match saw both teams score, and two matches had over 2.5 goals

Advanced statistics indicate Saudi Arabia consistently scores about 0.8 goals per game and has conceded an average of 2.48 goals this season

关键球员

For Ecuador in midfield, Denil Castillo is expected to play

In attack, John Yeboah has 1 season goal and an average rating of 7.03

Jordy Caicedo contributed 1 goal in the last 5 games and shows a rising form trend

For Saudi Arabia, Salem Al-Dawsari is a key attacker, with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games and a rating of 7.37

Musab Al-Juwayr in midfield also scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in his last 5 games, showing a rising form trend

Defender Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat scored 1 goal in his last 5 games

门将

Ecuador's starting goalkeeper is Moisés Ramírez, who has no season appearances

Mohammed Al-Owais will be in goal for Saudi Arabia, for whom no season data is available

Both teams have achieved 0 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will take place at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

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