Friendly International

Morocco - Norway

06/07/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Morocco
2.0
Total xG
3.1
Norway
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

3:1

7%

3:0

7%
xG 分解
MORNOR

Morocco

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-1.01
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.26
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.23
状态上升 (3.2 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
+0.23
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第11位 vs 第31位, 相差20位)
+0.14
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.71倍)
-0.14

Norway

小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.73
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.41倍)
-0.60
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.20
排名劣势 (第31位 vs 第11位, 相差20位)
-0.18
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.11
Jørgen Strand Larsen替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
54%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

59%

平局

24%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

41%

非平局

76%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Morocco's strong home form: Pipeline analysis predicts a home win with 59% probability and 2.02 expected home goals
  • Morocco's offensive strength: Averaging 3.0 home goals per game against Norway's vulnerable away defense with 2.0 goals conceded per game
  • Morocco's possession and shots on target: The team was ball-dominant in the last 5 games (62% possession) and averaged 6.8 shots on target
风险因素
  • Norway's weak away defense, with an average of 2.0 goals conceded per away game
  • Limited data availability for head-to-head matches as no historical meetings are available
概述

Morocco hosts Norway in a Friendly International match at the Red Bull Arena on June 7, 2026, 9:00 PM

The game serves as a performance review for both teams as part of their international preparations

近期状态

Morocco shows strong current form with a record of W D W W W

This equates to 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches across all competitions

Norway displays mixed form with W D L D W

This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from their last 5 fixtures

Morocco recently achieved convincing victories, winning 4-0 against Madagascar and 5-0 against Burundi

Norway celebrated a 3-1 win against Sweden

统计数据

Morocco averages an impressive 3.0 home goals per game while conceding only 0.5 goals

The team kept 2 clean sheets in their home matches

Norway shows a weaker away record, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per away game

The team has not kept a clean sheet in away matches this season

The Red Bull Arena records an average of 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games

历史交锋

No historical head-to-head matches between these two teams are available in the dataset

关键球员

For Morocco, Ismael Saibari is a key midfielder with 2 season goals and 5 goals in his last 5 games, holding an average rating of 7.84

Achraf Hakimi, a defender, provided 3 season assists and one assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.43

Brahim Díaz, an attacker, scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in the last 5 matches and shows a rising form trend

For Norway, Erling Haaland stands out as an attacker with 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 3 games, showing a rising form trend

Julian Ryerson, a defender, impresses with 5 assists in his last 5 games and a season average rating of 7.48

Martin Ødegaard, a midfielder, recorded one assist in his last 4 matches

Not nominated for Norway is Jørgen Strand Larsen (2 goals, 0 assists this season)

门将

Morocco relies on Yassine Bounou, who appeared in 2 season games and kept 2 clean sheets

For Norway, Ørjan Nyland starts, having kept 1 clean sheet in 3 season appearances

影响因素

Morocco benefits from its strong home advantage, with an average of 3.0 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded in home games

The Red Bull Arena is known for matches averaging 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of games

The playing surface is grass

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