Friendly International

France - Northern Ireland

06/08/2026, 07:10 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
France
2.0
Total xG
2.8
Northern Ireland
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
FRANI

France

防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.17
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.16
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第72位, 相差70位)
+0.14
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.51倍)
-0.12
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
-0.09

Northern Ireland

防守实力 (场均失0.4球 vs 联赛平均1球)
-0.68
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.57
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.50
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第72位 vs 第2位, 相差70位)
-0.14
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

63%

平局

24%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

37%

非平局

76%

双方进球

50%

51%

关键因素
  • France's strong current form (4 wins in 5 games) and a home win probability of 63% according to the model
  • France's offensive dominance (averaging 63% possession, 5.6 shots on target) meets Northern Ireland's counter-attacking approach (38% possession, 2.8 shots on target)
  • France's consistent goal production (avg. 2.6 goals in recent games) compared to Northern Ireland's faltering offense (avg. 0.6 goals in recent games)
风险因素
  • Northern Ireland averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • France's home record shows an average of 2.0 goals conceded per home game
  • Limited data availability for head-to-head matches
概述

France host Northern Ireland in a Friendly International match at Stade Pierre-Mauroy

The game is scheduled for June 8, 2026, 9:10 PM

This is an international friendly fixture

近期状态

France's current form across all competitions: WWWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team achieved 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches

Their most recent game was a 1-2 defeat against Côte d'Ivoire

Northern Ireland's form across all competitions: LWLDW

The team recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches

Their last outing resulted in a 1-0 victory against Guinea

统计数据

France averaged 2.0 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.33 goals

Northern Ireland averaged 1.0 goals per match and conceded only 0.5 goals

In home games, France scored an average of 1.0 goals and conceded 2.0 goals

Northern Ireland scored 1.0 goals and conceded 1.0 goals in away games

At Stade Pierre-Mauroy, the last 5 games saw an average of 1.6 total goals

Both teams scored in 1 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 matches

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between France and Northern Ireland

关键球员

For France, Ousmane Dembélé is notable with 6 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games and a rising form trend

Désiré Doué has 2 season goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games this season

Michael Olise showed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rising form trend

For Northern Ireland, Isaac Price stands out with 1 goal in his last 5 games and a rising form trend

Shea Emmanuel Charles scored 1 goal in his last 5 games and has a rising form trend

Jamie Paul Donley has 1 goal this season

门将

France's goalkeeper Mike Maignan has recorded 0 clean sheets this season

Northern Ireland's goalkeeper Pierce Joseph Charles has recorded 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

The match will take place at Stade Pierre-Mauroy on grass

France's home strength is reflected in 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per home game

Northern Ireland's away record shows 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per away game

The stadium's history suggests generally low-scoring games, with an average of 1.6 goals per match

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