Friendly International

Panama - Dominican Republic

06/04/2026, 12:45 AM

4 : 2
预期进球
Panama
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Dominican Republic
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
PANDR

Panama

防守不足 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.82
排名优势 (第29位 vs 第142位, 相差113位)
+0.12
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.10
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.03
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
58%进球产出缺失 (仅31%可用)

Dominican Republic

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
+0.42
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.40
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.29
排名劣势 (第142位 vs 第29位, 相差113位)
-0.18
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
Dorny Romero替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

27%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

73%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Panama enters with a severely reduced squad strength; only 31% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is active
  • The Dominican Republic is also heavily impacted with only 0% of the usual starting XI's goal threat, notably due to the absence of Dorny Romero
  • Despite these squad issues, Panama is rated as the favorite with a home win probability of 53%
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for expected goals (xG) for the Dominican Republic and duel statistics for both teams in the last 5 matches
概述

Panama hosts the Dominican Republic in a Friendly International match at the Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez on June 4, 2026, 2:45 AM CEST. This encounter offers both teams an opportunity to test their form and develop new tactics.

近期状态

Panama shows mixed form in their last five matches (DLDWL) with one win, two draws, and two losses. Their last game resulted in a 2-6 defeat against Brazil. The Dominican Republic also recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches (LLWDD). Their most recent match was a 1-1 draw against Cuba. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Panama averages 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game this season. Both teams scored in four out of five matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in two out of five matches. The Dominican Republic averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game. In both of their matches this season, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in one match. The Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez venue recorded an average of 1.0 total goals per game in its only fixture.

历史交锋

In their sole previous head-to-head encounter on June 9, 2021, Panama secured a 3-0 home victory. Panama scored all three goals in that match, while the Dominican Republic remained scoreless. Panama dominates the historical head-to-head record.

关键球员

For Panama, Jiovany Ramos is a key player, scoring one goal in two season appearances with an average rating of 6.85. César Yanis showed an average rating of 6.87 in one season appearance. Cristian Martínez has an average rating of 6.35 in three season appearances. For the Dominican Republic, Noah Dollenmayer is an important player with one goal in four games and an average rating of 6.72. Pablo Rosario has an average rating of 6.91 in three games, and Jean Carlos López has an average rating of 6.67 in three games.

门将

Panama's goalkeeper César Samudio has no appearances and no clean sheets this season. Xavier Valdez, the Dominican Republic's goalkeeper, also has no season appearances and no clean sheets.

影响因素

The Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez has an average of 1.0 total goals per game in its one recorded match. In this single game, both teams did not score, and there were no matches with over 2.5 goals.

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