Friendly International
Ecuador - Guatemala
06/07/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.4
0.6
1:0
15%2:0
15%1:1
11%0:0
10%3:0
9%xG 分解
Ecuador
Guatemala
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
66%
平局
24%
客胜
10%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
90%
客胜或平局
34%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Ecuador with a probability of 66% and expected goals of 1.84 to 0.60
- The absence of John Yeboah, who contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, significantly reduces Ecuador's goal threat to only 43% of the usual starting XI strength
- Ecuador's strong form of 5 games unbeaten (2 wins, 3 draws) contrasts with Guatemala's negative run of 3 losses in their last 4 matches
风险因素
- Guatemala averaged only 2.8 shots on target per game in their last 4 matches
- Lower.com Field, as the venue, showed an average of only 0.5 goals per game in the last 2 matches
概述
Ecuador hosts Guatemala in a Friendly International at Lower.com Field on June 7, 2026, 9:00 PM
近期状态
Ecuador shows stable form in their last five matches with DWDDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team achieved 2 wins and 3 draws
Their last encounter resulted in a 2-1 victory against Saudi Arabia
Guatemala displays weaker form with LDLL in their last four games
This includes 1 draw and 3 losses
Their last match was a 0-7 loss against Algeria, followed by a 1-3 loss against Czech Republic
统计数据
Ecuador averages 1.33 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1 goal per game
Both teams scored in 3 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored once
In home games, Ecuador averages 1 goal scored and 0.5 goals conceded
Guatemala averages 0.33 goals scored per game this season and concedes 3.67 goals per game
Both teams scored in 1 match, and over 2.5 goals were scored twice
In away games, Guatemala averages 0.33 goals scored and 3.67 goals conceded
At Lower.com Field, the last 2 games averaged 0.5 goals per match
In none of these matches did both teams score or were there over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
Historically, there has been one direct encounter between Ecuador and Guatemala
Ecuador won this match 2-0 on March 22, 2024
关键球员
Ecuador:
Jackson Porozo (Defender) scored 1 goal in 1 season appearance with an average rating of 7.22
In his last 5 games, he scored 1 goal in 473 minutes and shows stable form
Anthony Valencia (Attacker) scored 1 goal in 2 season appearances with an average rating of 6.98
In his last 2 games, he scored 1 goal in 137 minutes and shows stable form
Alan Minda (Attacker) scored 2 goals in his last 5 games in 287 minutes with an average rating of 6.89
Guatemala:
Matthew Evans (Midfielder) provided 1 assist in his last 3 games in 123 minutes with an average rating of 6.43
J. Morales (Defender) has an average rating of 5.76 in 2 season appearances
In his last 3 games, he had an average rating of 6.09 and shows rising form
J. Pinto (Defender) has an average rating of 6.08 in 2 season appearances
In his last 3 games, he had an average rating of 6.20 and shows stable form
门将
Ecuador's goalkeeper, Hernán Galíndez, made 1 season appearance with an average rating of 6.93
Ecuador has not kept a clean sheet this season
Guatemala's goalkeeper, Nicholas Hagen, has no season appearances
Guatemala has not kept a clean sheet this season
影响因素
Ecuador's home advantage is reflected in an average of 1 home goal scored and only 0.5 home goals conceded
Lower.com Field as a venue historically shows low goal numbers
An average of 0.5 goals per game have been scored there