Liga MX
Atlas - Cruz Azul
05/03/2026, 03:15 AM
预期进球
0.7
2.3
1.6
0:1
15%0:2
13%1:1
13%0:0
12%1:2
9%xG 分解
Atlas
Cruz Azul
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
14%
平局
28%
客胜
58%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
42%
客胜或平局
86%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
40%
否
60%
关键因素
- Cruz Azul is significantly higher in the league table with 3rd place and 35 points compared to Atlas (14th place, 17 points)
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Cruz Azul with a probability of 58%
- Cruz Azul displayed a possession-dominant style in the last 5 games (59% possession) with an average of 4.8 shots on target, while Atlas played counter-attacking football with an average of 2.2 shots on target
风险因素
- Atlas's goal production is stagnant (0.7 goals in recent games) compared to their season average (1.3 goals)
- Cruz Azul's goal production is stagnant (1.6 goals in recent games) compared to their season average (1.9 goals)
- The historical tendency in head-to-head matches shows many draws (4 out of 5 matches ended in a draw)
概述
Atlas (14th place, 17 points) hosts Cruz Azul (3rd place, 35 points) in Liga MX on May 3, 2026, 3:15 AM
Cruz Azul aims to solidify its top position and close the gap to the league leaders
Atlas is struggling at the bottom of the table and urgently needs points to move away from the relegation zone
近期状态
Atlas has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches (Form: LDWDW)
Atlas's last game was a 1-0 away win against América
Cruz Azul has one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches (Form: LDDDW)
Cruz Azul's last game was a 4-1 home win against Necaxa
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Atlas has scored an average of 1.18 goals per game and conceded 1.56 goals per game this season
At home, Atlas averages 1.19 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded
Cruz Azul has scored an average of 1.79 goals per game and conceded 1.11 goals per game this season
Away from home, Cruz Azul averages 1.81 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded
Atlas has kept 10 clean sheets this season, and Cruz Azul also has 10 clean sheets
For Atlas, 17 games ended with both teams scoring, compared to 27 games for Cruz Azul
历史交锋
The last five head-to-head encounters saw four draws and one win for Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul scored a total of 10 goals, while Atlas scored 8 goals in these matches
The last duel on January 14, 2026, ended in a 2-0 victory for Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul has shown recent dominance in direct matchups
关键球员
For Atlas, Diego González is a central figure with 6 goals and 7 assists this season
Manuel Capasso, a defender, recently showed rising form, scoring 1 goal in the last 5 games with a season average rating of 7.2
Goalkeeper Camilo Vargas shows a rising form in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.14
For Cruz Azul, José Paradela stands out with 9 goals and 8 assists this season
Carlos Rotondi provided 7 assists this season, with 3 of them coming in the last 5 games
Agustín Palavecino contributed 5 goals and 3 assists this season, scoring 1 goal in his last 5 appearances
门将
Camilo Vargas, Atlas's goalkeeper, has played in 31 matches and kept 10 clean sheets
Kevin Mier, Cruz Azul's goalkeeper, has played 20 matches and kept 10 clean sheets
影响因素
Atlas averages 1.19 goals scored per home game and concedes 1.05 goals
Cruz Azul performs well away from home, averaging 1.81 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded