La Liga
Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés
02/14/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.9
1.5
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:2
6%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
28%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Alavés' glaring away weakness, conceding an average of 2.29 goals per game, is a decisive factor
- The historical record clearly favors Alavés, who have won 3 of the last 5 direct encounters
- The mathematical model suggests a very open match, with a slight edge for Alavés (38% win probability) and expected goals for both sides (1.40 to 1.50)
风险因素
- Both teams are showing very inconsistent form, making a prediction difficult
- Sevilla's defense, conceding 1.65 goals per game this season, is a constant vulnerability
- The available data on chance quality (xG) in recent matches is limited for both teams
概述
Sevilla (14th place, 25 points) host Deportivo Alavés (15th place, 25 points) at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
La Liga match on February 14, 2026, 6:30 PM
A direct duel between two teams level on points in the lower mid-table
近期状态
Sevilla's form from the last five matches (all competitions) is LDWLD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Alavés' form is LWWLL (2 wins, 3 losses), having lost their last two games
In the league, Sevilla's form is LLWDW, while Alavés' is WLDWL
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Sevilla scores an average of 1.3 goals per game and concedes 1.65 goals
Alavés averages 0.87 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per game
Particularly noteworthy is Alavés' weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2.29 goals per away match
Both teams scored in 14 of Sevilla's 23 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés has the upper hand with 3 wins to Sevilla's 1 (1 draw)
The goal difference is also in favor of Alavés at 8:6
The last encounter was won by Alavés with a score of 1-0
关键球员
For Sevilla, Akor Adams is a key offensive player with 6 season goals and 3 assists, and his form is rising
Defender Kike Salas recently got on the scoresheet
For Alavés, Lucas Boyé (5 season goals) and Toni Martínez (4 season goals) are the most dangerous attackers
门将
In goal for Sevilla is Odysseas Vlachodimos; his team has kept 4 clean sheets this season
For Alavés, Antonio Sivera is the goalkeeper; his team has managed 3 clean sheets
影响因素
The home advantage for Sevilla seems significant, as Alavés is very vulnerable on the road, conceding 2.29 goals per game
At the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, games average 2.6 goals, and 60% of recent matches have ended with over 2.5 goals