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Liga MX

Pumas UNAM - América

05/11/2026, 01:15 AM

3 : 3
预期进球
Pumas UNAM
1.2
Total xG
2.4
América
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
PUAMÉ

Pumas UNAM

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.31
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.31
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第4位, 相差6位)
-0.08
Alan Medina未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)

América

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.04
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.04
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第10位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Raphael Veiga替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Cristián Borja未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Israel Reyes未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

31%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Pumas' recent offensive surge: Pumas UNAM is currently scoring more frequently (2.8 goals) than their season average (1.8 goals)
  • Tight match prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a very close match with home win (35%), draw (31%), and away win (34%) probabilities
  • Home team's tactical approach: Pumas UNAM showed ball-possession dominance (58% possession) and high shots on target (Ø 6.0 shots on target) in their last 5 games
风险因素
  • High draw probability: The mathematical model predicts a high probability for a draw (31%)
  • América's recent defensive vulnerability: América conceded an average of 1.6 goals in recent matches, higher than their season average of 1.11
  • Pumas conceded 3 goals in their last direct encounter with América
概述

Pumas UNAM (10th place, 21 points) host América (4th place, 34 points) in a Liga MX clash on May 11, 2026, 3:15 AM. The hosts are fighting for a top-10 spot, while América aims to solidify their position among the league's elite.

近期状态

Pumas UNAM is in excellent form with a WWWWD streak. The team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches. América shows DWWLD form, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Pumas UNAM scores an average of 1.72 goals and concedes 1.33 goals per game this season. At home, they are solid with an average of 1.76 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded per home game. Pumas UNAM is currently scoring more frequently (2.8 goals) than their season average (1.8 goals). América averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded per match. Away from home, they score an average of 1.56 goals and concede 1.31 goals. América consistently scores (~1.7 goals per game).

历史交锋

The last 5 head-to-head matches between Pumas UNAM and América have been evenly balanced. Both teams secured 2 wins, with 1 match ending in a draw. Pumas UNAM scored 6 goals, while América scored 9. Their last encounter on May 03, 2026, ended in a 3:3 draw.

关键球员

For Pumas UNAM, Robert Morales (8 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.12) with rising form and Jordán Carrillo (4 goals, 3 assists, avg 7.13) also with rising form stand out. Juninho (8 goals, 3 assists, avg 6.94) is another important player with stable form. For América, Brian Rodríguez (13 goals, 6 assists, avg 7.32) with rising form, Álex Zendejas (10 goals, 6 assists, avg 7.29), and Isaías Violante (2 goals, 4 assists, avg 6.75) are significant.

门将

Pumas UNAM's goalkeeper, Keylor Navas, made 33 appearances this season, keeping 10 clean sheets. For América, Rodolfo Cota played in 11 season matches and achieved 11 clean sheets.

影响因素

Pumas UNAM displays strong offensive performance at home with an average of 1.76 goals scored. The home team conceded an average of 1.12 goals per home game.

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