Cruz Azul (3rd place, 35 points) host Atlas (14th place, 17 points) in Liga MX on May 10, 2026, 3:15 AM. Cruz Azul aims to solidify their position in the top group, while Atlas fights to catch up with the mid-table teams. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Cruz Azul with a probability of 58%.

Cruz Azul shows good form with a record of D D D W W. In their last five matches, the team achieved 2 wins and 3 draws, with their last game against Atlas ending in a 3-2 victory. Prior to that, they secured a 4-1 win against Necaxa. Atlas's last five matches show a form of D W D W L. This translates to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with their most recent match against Cruz Azul resulting in a 2-3 defeat. Before that, Atlas secured a 1-0 away win against América.

Cruz Azul averages 1.82 goals and concedes 1.13 goals per game this season. The team recorded 10 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 28 matches. 21 matches ended with over 2.5 goals. At home, Cruz Azul averages 1.86 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded. Atlas averages 1.2 goals and 1.6 goals conceded per game this season. They have 10 clean sheets, both teams scored in 18 matches, and 17 matches had over 2.5 goals. Away from home, Atlas scores 1.25 goals and concedes an average of 2.58 goals per game.

In 5 direct encounters between the two teams, Cruz Azul has 2 wins and Atlas has 0 wins, with 3 matches ending in a draw. The goal difference is 11:8 in favor of Cruz Azul. The last meeting on May 3, 2026, saw Cruz Azul win 3-2. Cruz Azul has been more dominant in recent head-to-head matches.

For Cruz Azul, José Paradela with 9 goals and 9 assists and a stable form trend is crucial. Carlos Rotondi contributed 5 goals and 7 assists, showing a rising form trend. Agustín Palavecino scored 5 goals and 3 assists, but his form is declining. For Atlas, Arturo González is the top scorer with 7 goals and shows stable form. Manuel Capasso with 2 goals shows a rising form. Aldo Rocha with 1 goal and 2 assists also has a rising form. Not named to the squad for Cruz Azul are Gabriel Fernández (14 goals/7 assists) and Jeremy Márquez (5 goals/1 assist). For Atlas, Diego González (6 goals/7 assists) is not named.

Kevin Mier is in goal for Cruz Azul. Cruz Azul has achieved 10 clean sheets this season, with 6 of those in home games. On the other side, Camilo Vargas guards the goal for Atlas. Atlas also recorded 10 clean sheets overall, with 3 achieved in away games.

Cruz Azul benefits from a significant home advantage, averaging 1.86 home goals scored and only 0.95 home goals conceded per game. Atlas appears more vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.58 goals per away game.