Liga MX
Guadalajara - Tigres UANL
05/10/2026, 01:07 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Guadalajara
Tigres UANL
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
30%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: Guadalajara is expected to win at home with a 50% probability
- Form and league position: Tigres UANL is in better form (3 wins, 2 draws) and holds 2nd place in the league
- Head-to-head dominance: Tigres UANL dominated recent encounters with 2 wins and 3 draws from 5 matches
风险因素
- Guadalajara has only 63% of their usual starting XI goal threat available, without Armando González, Roberto Alvarado, Daniel Aguirre Domínguez, Brian Gutiérrez, Luis Romo
概述
Guadalajara (6th place, 29 points) hosts Tigres UANL (2nd place, 36 points) in Liga MX on May 9, 2026, 8:07 PM
Guadalajara aims to improve its standing, while Tigres UANL looks to solidify its top table position
The mathematical analysis suggests a home win for Guadalajara with a 50% probability
近期状态
The home team, Guadalajara, has a form of LWDDL in their last five matches across all competitions
This translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Their last result was a loss against Tigres UANL
The away team, Tigres UANL, shows a form of WDDWW in their last five matches
This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 draws
Tigres UANL secured a win in their last outing
According to advanced stats, both teams show a positive trend in their recent goal-scoring rates
统计数据
Guadalajara scores an average of 1.77 home goals per game and concedes 0.77 home goals
Overall this season, Guadalajara has seen both teams score in 19 matches and over 2.5 goals in 23 matches
Tigres UANL scores an average of 1.80 goals away and concedes 1.73 goals per away game
Overall this season, Tigres UANL has seen both teams score in 24 matches and over 2.5 goals in 21 matches
The pipeline analysis predicts a 47% chance for both teams to score and 42% for over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara has 0 wins, Tigres UANL has 2 wins, and there were 3 draws
The goal difference is 4:9 in favor of Tigres UANL
The last encounter on May 3, 2026, ended in a 3-1 victory for Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL has been the more dominant side in recent meetings
关键球员
For Guadalajara, Bryan Alonso González Oliván is a key player with 6 season goals and 5 assists
His form is rising, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, holding an average rating of 7.20
Efraín Álvarez has contributed 3 goals and 7 assists this season
Ricardo Marín added 3 goals and 2 assists, with 2 goals in his last 5 appearances
For Tigres UANL, Juan Brunetta is crucial with 19 goals and 9 assists this season
His form is rising, with 5 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games, with a rating of 8.26
Ángel Correa has scored 16 goals and provided 12 assists, contributing 3 goals and 5 assists in the last 5 matches
Rodrigo Aguirre has 1 season goal and 2 assists, including 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Not selected for Tigres UANL are Diego Lainez (6G/7A), Ozziel Herrera (7G/4A), Fernando Gorriarán (1G/3A), and Joaquim Henrique Pereira Silva (2G/1A)
门将
Guadalajara's goalkeeper Óscar Alexánder Whalley Guardado has made 3 appearances this season
Tigres UANL's goalkeeper Nahuel Guzmán has made 41 appearances
Guadalajara has recorded 13 clean sheets this season, with 9 of those in home games
Tigres UANL has 14 clean sheets this season, with 4 of those in away games
影响因素
Guadalajara shows strong offensive performance at home with an average of 1.77 goals per home game and solid defense conceding only 0.77 goals
Tigres UANL scores an average of 1.80 goals away but also concedes 1.73 goals per away game