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Liga MX

América - Pumas UNAM

05/03/2026, 11:00 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
América
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Pumas UNAM
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

12%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
AMÉPU

América

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.83
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.58
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第10位, 相差6位)
+0.03
Brian Rodríguez未进大名单 (13球, 6助攻)
Raphael Veiga替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Israel Reyes未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Jonathan dos Santos替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Ramón Juárez替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅69%可用)

Pumas UNAM

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.26
状态上升 (2.6 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.26
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.10
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第4位, 相差6位)
-0.06
Alan Medina未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.42
+0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

33%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

67%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Pumas UNAM's strong recent form, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, supported by a positive offensive trend of 2.6 goals on average compared to their season average of 1.7
  • Pumas UNAM's recent head-to-head dominance over América, securing 3 wins in their last 5 direct encounters, including the most recent match
  • The tight win probabilities from the pipeline (América 37%, Draw 33%, Pumas UNAM 30%) suggest a highly competitive and finely balanced match
风险因素
  • América's offensive strength is significantly reduced due to key player absences, with only 70% of their usual active goal share available
  • América's recent goal production shows a negative trend, averaging 1.4 goals in their latest matches compared to their season average of 1.6
  • América's recent home loss to Atlas (0-1) indicates a potential vulnerability at home despite their overall strong home record
概述

América (4th place, 34 points) hosts Pumas UNAM (10th place, 21 points) in a Liga MX clash on May 3, 2026, 5:00 PM

The hosts aim to solidify their position in the top ranks

近期状态

América's form in the last five games is DDWWL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

Their last match resulted in a loss

Pumas UNAM is in very strong form in their last five matches with DWWWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses)

The visitors have won their last four games and are showing an upward trend

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

América scores an average of 1.53 goals per game and concedes 1.06 goals per game this season

In home games, the average is 1.5 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded per match

The team kept 11 clean sheets in total, with 7 of them at home

Pumas UNAM scores an average of 1.69 goals per game and concedes 1.29 goals per game

Away from home, they score an average of 1.71 goals and concede 1.53 goals per game

They kept 10 clean sheets in total, with 5 of them away from home

Both teams scored in 19 of América's games, while this happened in 23 of Pumas UNAM's games

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Pumas UNAM leads with 3 wins compared to 2 for América

The goal difference is 7:5 in favor of América

The last encounter was won by Pumas UNAM on March 22, 2026, with a score of 1:0

关键球员

For América, Álex Zendejas with 9 goals and 6 assists at an average rating of 7.28, Érick Sánchez with 3 goals and a rating of 6.98, and Rodrigo Dourado with 1 assist and a rating of 6.97 are key players

For Pumas UNAM, Robert Morales with 8 goals and 2 assists at a rating of 7.18, goalkeeper Keylor Navas with a rating of 7.07, and Jordán Carrillo with 3 goals and 2 assists at a rating of 7.06 stand out

Not nominated for Pumas UNAM is Alan Medina (4 goals, 4 assists)

门将

América's Rodolfo Cota, with 10 season appearances, faces Pumas UNAM's Keylor Navas, who has 32 appearances

América kept a total of 11 clean sheets this season, while Pumas UNAM finished 10 games without conceding a goal

影响因素

América has a solid home record with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded

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