Friendly International

Russia - Trinidad and Tobago

06/09/2026, 05:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Russia
2.2
Total xG
3.0
Trinidad and Tobago
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

1:1

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
RUSTAT

Russia

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.64
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.24
排名优势 (第33位 vs 第102位, 相差69位)
+0.15
状态下滑 (1.5 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.15
K. Tyukavin未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
A. Golovin未进大名单 (1球, 0助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅66%可用)

Trinidad and Tobago

防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+1.13
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.20
排名劣势 (第102位 vs 第33位, 相差69位)
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.03

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

68%

平局

21%

客胜

12%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

88%

客胜或平局

32%

非平局

79%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Russia with a 68% probability.
  • Russia's Defensive Strength: Russia concedes an average of only 0.25 goals per home game.
  • Trinidad and Tobago's Form: The team has recorded 0 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches, including a 0-5 defeat.
风险因素
  • Russia is missing key attacking players such as K. Tyukavin and A. Golovin, with only 67% of goal production available.
  • Trinidad and Tobago has conceded an average of 3.5 goals per game in recent matches.
概述

Russia will host Trinidad and Tobago in a Friendly International match at Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1 on June 9, 2026, 7:00 PM. The mathematical analysis places Russia as the clear favorite with a high probability of 68% for a home win. Russia is projected to score 2.20 expected goals, while Trinidad and Tobago is projected for 0.83 expected goals.

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Russia's last five matches show a form of LWDLW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their most recent game was a 3-0 victory against Burkina Faso.

Trinidad and Tobago's form in their last five outings is DLLDL, recording 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their last match resulted in a 0-5 defeat against Korea Republic.

统计数据

Russia scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 0.5 goals per game in 4 matches. They kept 2 clean sheets. In home games, they scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded only 0.25 goals per game. Both teams scored in 1 of 4 matches.

Trinidad and Tobago scored an average of 2.3 goals and conceded 1.2 goals per game in 10 matches. They kept 2 clean sheets. In away games, they scored 2.4 goals and conceded 1.2 goals per game. Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches. 6 out of 10 matches for Trinidad and Tobago ended with over 2.5 goals.

关键球员

Key players for Russia include: Lechi Sadulaev who has 2 season goals with an average rating of 7.48. Ilya Vakhania has 1 season goal and an average rating of 7.12. Aleksey Miranchuk scored 1 season goal and has an average rating of 6.98.

Key players for Trinidad and Tobago include: Reon Moore who scored 3 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games. D. Smith (goalkeeper) has an average rating of 6.43 in his last 5 games. D. Phillips has an average rating of 6.52 across 5 games.

门将

Russia's starting goalkeeper is Anton Mitryushkin. The team has recorded 2 clean sheets this season.

Trinidad and Tobago's goalkeeper is D. Smith. The team has also recorded 2 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

The match will be played on a grass surface. Russia demonstrates strong defensive performance at home, conceding only an average of 0.25 goals per home game. Trinidad and Tobago has scored an average of 2.4 goals per away game.

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