Friendly International

Paraguay - Nicaragua

06/05/2026, 10:45 PM

4 : 0
预期进球
Paraguay
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Nicaragua
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
PARNIC

Paraguay

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.80
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.59
防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.48
排名优势 (第37位 vs 第132位, 相差95位)
+0.12
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.06
全员可用

Nicaragua

排名劣势 (第132位 vs 第37位, 相差95位)
-0.18
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.17
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.37
+0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

27%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

73%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 52% for Paraguay
  • Critical: Only 0% of Nicaragua's usual starting XI goal threat is available
  • Tactical advantage: Paraguay averages 4.2 shots on target, while Nicaragua averages only 0.5
风险因素
  • Paraguay has F. Balbuena González (Thigh Muscle Strain) and D. Bobadilla (Knee Injury) sidelined
  • Limited data available for head-to-head matches
概述

Paraguay hosts Nicaragua at Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Friendly International match on June 5, 2026, 11:15 PM

This is an international friendly game played on grass

近期状态

Paraguay's form across all competitions is LLWWL, with 2 wins and 3 losses

The last result was a loss

Nicaragua's form is LD, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last result was a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Paraguay averages 1.0 goals scored per game and 1.0 goals conceded per game this season

The team kept 1 clean sheet and both teams scored in 1 match

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 match

Nicaragua averages 0.5 goals scored per game and 1.5 goals conceded per game this season

The team kept 1 clean sheet and both teams scored in 1 match

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 match

Nicaragua failed to score in 1 match

历史交锋

There are no historical head-to-head matches between Paraguay and Nicaragua in the provided dataset

关键球员

For Paraguay, Julio Enciso is a key player, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 of 5 games, showing a stable form trend

Juan José Cáceres played in 2 of 5 games, with 1 assist and a stable form trend

Diego Gómez scored 1 season goal

For Nicaragua, Jacob Montes shows a stable form trend in 2 of 5 games

Evert Martinez played in 2 of 5 games and has a stable form trend

Jonathan Moncada, who played in 2 of 5 games, shows a declining form trend

门将

Paraguay's goalkeeper, Roberto Fernández, has recorded 1 clean sheet

Nicaragua's goalkeeper, Adonis Pineda, has also recorded 1 clean sheet

影响因素

The match will take place at Estadio Defensores del Chaco on a grass surface

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