Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Estudiantes - Racing Club
05/10/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
15%1:0
13%0:1
10%2:0
8%xG 分解
Estudiantes
Racing Club
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
34%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Home win tendency: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 39% for Estudiantes
- Form difference: Estudiantes showed significantly stronger form in the last five games compared to Racing Club
- Defensive strength: Estudiantes conceded only 0.44 goals per game on average this season, compared to 0.94 goals for Racing Club
风险因素
- Estudiantes: Only 70% of usual goal threat available without Alexis Castro, Brian Aguirre, and Fabricio Pérez
- Racing Club: Averaged only 2.2 shots on target in the last 5 games, indicating few attempts
概述
Estudiantes (1st place, 31 points) host Racing Club (8th place, 21 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on May 10, 2026, 9:00 PM. The home team aims to defend its lead at the top of the table.
近期状态
Estudiantes show good form with "LWWDW" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) from their last five matches with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Racing Club, however, are in a difficult phase with "LLDDD" (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Estudiantes last won 2-0 against Platense, while Racing Club drew 0-0 against Huracán.
统计数据
Estudiantes average 1.19 goals scored and only 0.44 goals conceded per game this season. The team kept 9 clean sheets. In home games, the average is 1.22 goals scored and 0.44 goals conceded. Racing Club average 1.06 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded per game, with 6 clean sheets. Away from home, Racing Club average 1.11 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded. Both teams scored in 4 Estudiantes matches and 8 Racing Club matches.
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes recorded 3 wins, while Racing Club secured no wins and 1 draw. The goal difference is 9:5 in favour of Estudiantes. Their last encounter on December 14, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. Estudiantes have been more dominant in recent encounters.
关键球员
For Estudiantes, Mikel Amondarain (2 goals, 1 assist this season, 1 goal in last 5 games), Guido Carrillo (1 goal, 1 assist this season), and Santiago Núñez (1 goal, 1 assist this season, 1 assist in last 5 games) are important players. For Racing Club, Adrián Martínez (4 goals this season), Tomás Conechny (3 goals, 2 assists this season), and Matías Zaracho (2 goals this season, 2 goals in last 5 games with rising form) stand out.
门将
Fernando Muslera, the Estudiantes goalkeeper, has contributed to his team keeping 9 clean sheets in 11 season appearances. Facundo Cambeses of Racing Club has played 16 games, and his team achieved 6 clean sheets.
影响因素
Estudiantes show strong defensive stability in home games, averaging 1.22 goals scored and only 0.44 goals conceded. Racing Club have an away record of 1.11 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded per game.