Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Rosario Central - Independiente
05/10/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Rosario Central
Independiente
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
30%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Rosario Central is the favorite with a home win probability of 47% according to mathematical analysis
- Rosario Central shows a positive recent form trend with 1.6 goals per game currently compared to 1.4 season average, according to Advanced Stats
- Rosario Central's strong home defense with an average of 0.88 goals conceded meets Independiente's vulnerable away defense with 1.83 goals conceded
风险因素
- J. Komar (Heart Problems) and J. Giménez (Knee Injury) are missing for Rosario Central
- Independiente averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Independiente has won the last two direct encounters against Rosario Central, including a 0:1 away victory in their last match
概述
Rosario Central (4th place, 28 points) host Independiente (5th place, 24 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The match takes place on May 10, 2026, 8:00 PM
Both teams are vying for an improved position in the upper mid-table
近期状态
Rosario Central's current form (W/L/W/W/D) shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from the last 5 games
Rosario Central's last result was a draw
Independiente's form (W/D/W/L/W) also includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Independiente won their last game
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Rosario Central averages 1.25 goals scored per home game and concedes 0.88 goals
Independiente averages 1.5 goals scored away and concedes 1.83 goals per game
Rosario Central kept 4 clean sheets in 16 games, Independiente also achieved 4 clean sheets in 16 games
In 10 of Rosario Central's games, both teams scored, compared to 11 for Independiente
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of Rosario Central's games and 6 of Independiente's games
历史交锋
There have been a total of 3 head-to-head matches between Rosario Central and Independiente
Rosario Central won 1 match and Independiente won 2, with 0 draws
The goal difference is 1:2 in favor of Independiente
The last encounter on November 16, 2025, ended in a 0:1 victory for Independiente
Independiente has been dominant in recent meetings
关键球员
For Rosario Central, Ángel Di María (4 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.39) and Franco Ibarra (0 goals, 0 assists, average rating 7.32) are important players
Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy (1 goal, 1 assist, average rating 7.14) also contributes to the team
On Independiente's side, Gabriel Ávalos (9 goals, 5 assists, average rating 7.45) stands out
Maximiliano Gutiérrez (2 goals, 1 assist, average rating 6.96) and Ignacio Malcorra (1 goal, 3 assists, average rating 6.93) are also key players
门将
Conan Ledesma is the goalkeeper for Rosario Central, who achieved 4 clean sheets this season
Rodrigo Rey is the goalkeeper for Independiente, who also recorded 4 clean sheets
影响因素
Rosario Central has scored an average of 1.25 goals at home and conceded 0.88 goals
Independiente has scored an average of 1.5 goals away and conceded 1.83 goals