Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield - Gimnasia La Plata
05/11/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.2
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
13%0:0
12%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Vélez Sarsfield
Gimnasia La Plata
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
31%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Mathematical analysis: Vélez Sarsfield has a home win probability of 46%
- Gimnasia La Plata is in top form with 4 consecutive wins
- Vélez Sarsfield currently scores more frequently (1.5) than their season average (1.3)
风险因素
- Vélez Sarsfield is missing key players: Only 65% of usual goal threat is available without Diego Valdés (0G/5A) and Matías Pellegrini (3G/2A)
- Vélez Sarsfield has drawn three consecutive matches in their last five games
- Gimnasia La Plata dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning 2 out of 3 matches
概述
Vélez Sarsfield (3rd place, 28 points) host Gimnasia La Plata (6th place, 26 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The match takes place on May 11, 2026, 2:30 AM
Vélez Sarsfield aims to solidify its top positions
Gimnasia La Plata could close the gap to Vélez with a win
近期状态
Vélez Sarsfield's form in the last five games is LWDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss during this period
The last appearance ended in a draw, which is their third consecutive draw
Gimnasia La Plata is in strong form with a record of LWWWW
They have 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches
The team has won their last four games in a row
统计数据
Vélez Sarsfield scored an average of 1.13 goals per game and conceded 0.75 goals per game this season
The team kept 7 clean sheets
In home games, the goal average is 1.12 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded
Gimnasia La Plata averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded per match
The team achieved 5 clean sheets
Away from home, Gimnasia La Plata averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded
历史交锋
In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, Vélez Sarsfield secured 1 win and Gimnasia La Plata claimed 2 wins
There were no draws
The goal difference of 5:2 favors Gimnasia La Plata
Gimnasia La Plata won the last encounter on November 10, 2025, with a score of 2:0
关键球员
Florián Monzón, an attacker for Vélez Sarsfield, scored 6 goals this season
In his last 5 games, he scored 3 times with stable form
Midfielder Manuel Lanzini recorded 3 season goals, his form is currently declining
Lucas Robertone, also a midfielder, scored 1 season goal and shows a rising form
For Gimnasia La Plata, attacker Marcelo Torres leads with 7 goals, 3 of which in the last 5 games with stable form
Agustín Auzmendi, also in attack, contributed 2 goals and 2 assists and shows a rising form
Alexis Steimbach in midfield has 4 assists this season, 2 of them in the last 5 games
门将
Vélez Sarsfield goalkeeper Álvaro Montero has recorded 7 clean sheets this season
Gimnasia La Plata's goalkeeper, Nelson Insfrán, has 5 clean sheets and shows a rising form
影响因素
Vélez Sarsfield shows a solid home defense with an average of 0.75 goals conceded per home game
Gimnasia La Plata averages 1.14 goals scored per away match