🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Argentinos Juniors - Lanús

05/10/2026, 01:15 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Argentinos Juniors
1.7
Total xG
2.5
Lanús
0.8
最可能的比分

1:0

13%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
AJLAN

Argentinos Juniors

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.48倍)
+0.94
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.42
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.16
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
Iván Morales替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.3球)

Lanús

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.35
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.26
防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.26
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.15
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

27%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

73%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The analysis forecasts a home win with 57% probability and 1.68 expected home goals
  • Home Strength and Form: Argentinos Juniors displays stable form with strong home defensive performance (avg. 0.44 goals conceded), while Lanús' goal production has stalled
  • Head-to-Head: Argentinos Juniors has won both previous encounters against Lanús, indicating historical dominance
风险因素
  • Lanús' Offense: Lanús' goal production has recently stalled, averaging 0.5 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.4
  • Lanús' Shots on Target: Lanús registered an average of only 3.4 shots on target per game in their last 5 matches
  • Argentinos' Recent Defense: Argentinos Juniors has recently conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, which is higher than their season average of 1.0
概述

Argentinos Juniors (3rd place, 29 points) host Lanús (6th place, 24 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The match is scheduled for May 10, 2026, at 1:30 AM. Argentinos Juniors aims to solidify their position in the top half of the table, while Lanús looks to close the gap to the leading teams.

近期状态

The home side, Argentinos Juniors, displays a stable form across all competitions with W-L-W-W-L. This translates to 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a loss. Lanús, on the other hand, shows a form of D-W-L-D-D, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, including two consecutive draws. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Argentinos Juniors have scored an average of 1.06 goals per game and conceded 0.81 goals this season. At home, they are defensively strong with an average of 0.44 goals conceded and 6 clean sheets. Lanús has a season average of 1.13 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded. Away from home, they have conceded an average of 1.25 goals. Argentinos Juniors had both teams score in 7 matches, while Lanús had it in 6 matches. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 5 of Argentinos Juniors' matches and 6 of Lanús' matches. Argentinos Juniors scores consistently (avg. 1.4 goals per game). Lanús' goal production has stalled (avg. 0.5 goals), with a season average of 1.4.

历史交锋

In the 2 previous head-to-head encounters between Argentinos Juniors and Lanús, Argentinos Juniors has won both matches. The goal difference stands at 4:1 in favor of Argentinos Juniors. The last meeting on March 27, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Argentinos Juniors, highlighting the home team's recent dominance.

关键球员

For Argentinos Juniors, Tomás Molina (attacker) with 3 season goals and 2 goals in his last 5 games, Sebastián Prieto (defender) with 1 season goal and 2 assists, and Hernán López Muñoz (midfielder) with 2 season goals and 2 assists are key players. For Lanús, Dylan Aquino (attacker) with 5 season goals, Ramiro Carrera (midfielder) with 2 season goals and 3 assists (including 1 goal in last 5), and Marcelino Moreno (midfielder) with 3 season goals and 1 assist are notable.

门将

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández, the goalkeeper for Argentinos Juniors, has played 16 games this season and kept 8 clean sheets. For Lanús, Nahuel Losada has been in goal for 14 games and achieved 7 clean sheets.

影响因素

Argentinos Juniors shows a solid performance at home with an average of 1.11 goals scored and only 0.44 goals conceded per home game. They have kept a clean sheet in 6 home matches. Lanús has scored an average of 1.12 goals away, but also conceded 1.25 goals per away game and achieved only 2 clean sheets.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。