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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Boca Juniors - Huracán

05/09/2026, 10:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Boca Juniors
1.1
Total xG
1.8
Huracán
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

18%

1:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
BJHUR

Boca Juniors

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.52
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
Milton Giménez 替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Alan Velasco 替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

Huracán

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
-0.34
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.20
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.19
状态上升 (2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.05
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

35%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

56%

Under 1.5

44%

Over 2.5

28%

Under 2.5

72%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

65%

双方进球

37%

63%

关键因素
  • Boca Juniors are in strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 games
  • Boca Juniors demonstrate very stable home defense, conceding an average of 0.5 goals per home game
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Boca Juniors with a 41% probability and 1.08 expected home goals
风险因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a draw with a probability of 35%
  • Huracán has improved offensively, currently scoring more often (2.0 goals) than their season average (1.4 goals)
  • Boca Juniors will be without the unlisted players Milton Giménez (3 goals, 0 assists) and Alan Velasco (2 goals, 1 assist)
概述

Boca Juniors (2nd place, 30 points) host Huracán (7th place, 22 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on May 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

Boca Juniors aim to maintain their position in the upper league ranks

近期状态

Boca Juniors show strong form with WDWWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses)

Their last five games include: a 2-1 win against Central Cordoba SdE, a 4-0 win against Defensa y Justicia, a 1-0 win against River Plate, a 1-1 draw against Independiente, and a 1-0 win against Talleres Córdoba

Huracán show mixed form with WWDLD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

Their last five games include: a 0-0 draw against Racing Club, a 1-2 loss against Argentinos Juniors, a 1-1 draw against Tigre, a 3-1 win against Rosario Central, and a 3-0 win against Gimnasia La Plata

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Boca Juniors averages 1.33 home goals scored and 0.5 home goals conceded

Huracán averages 1.0 away goals scored and 0.83 away goals conceded

Boca Juniors kept 9 clean sheets this season and both teams scored in 7 matches

Huracán kept 7 clean sheets this season and both teams scored in 8 matches

历史交锋

There have been 3 head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors and Huracán

Boca Juniors won 1 match, Huracán won 1 match, and 1 match ended in a draw

The goal difference in these encounters is 2:2

The last encounter was on July 27, 2025, with Huracán winning 1-0

关键球员

For Boca Juniors, Miguel Merentiel, Leandro Paredes, and Adam Bareiro are important players

Miguel Merentiel scored 5 goals and provided 2 assists this season, with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Leandro Paredes contributed 2 goals and 3 assists this season, with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Adam Bareiro scored 3 goals and 1 assist this season, with 2 goals in the last 5 games

For Huracán, Jordy Caicedo, Óscar Cortés, and Facundo Waller are key players

Jordy Caicedo scored 8 goals this season and netted twice in the last 5 games

Óscar Cortés provided 4 assists this season and one assist in the last 5 games

Facundo Waller scored 1 goal this season and one goal in the last 5 games

门将

Leandro Brey of Boca Juniors has played 5 matches this season

Hernán Galíndez of Huracán has played 15 matches this season

Boca Juniors recorded 9 clean sheets this season

Huracán recorded 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Boca Juniors shows a strong home defense with an average of 0.5 goals conceded per home game

Huracán's offense averages 1.0 goals scored away from home

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