Liga Profesional de Fútbol
River Plate - San Lorenzo
05/10/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.4
0.7
1:0
14%2:0
13%1:1
12%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
River Plate
San Lorenzo
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
59%
平局
27%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
41%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Critical absence: San Lorenzo lacks a significant portion of goal threat, with only 48% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available without Alexis Cuello and Facundo Gulli
- Mathematical favoritism: The analysis predicts a home win for River Plate with a 59% probability, with expected 1.67 home goals
- Form and Advanced Stats: River Plate shows 3 wins in the last 5 games and a stable form, while San Lorenzo has a negative form trend with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
风险因素
- Historical record: All 3 head-to-head matches between River Plate and San Lorenzo ended in a draw, indicating a tendency for close games
- Limited data availability: Data on total duels from the last 5 games is missing, as are specific historical venue data and weather information
概述
River Plate (2nd place, 29 points) host San Lorenzo (7th place, 22 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on May 10, 2026, 7:00 PM. River Plate aim to solidify their top table position, while San Lorenzo look to stay connected to the leading group.
近期状态
River Plate's form in the last 5 games is WWLWL, which means 3 wins and 2 losses. San Lorenzo's form in their last 5 games is WDDWL, representing 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
River Plate averages 1.38 goals scored per game this season and concedes 0.75 goals. San Lorenzo averages 0.88 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded per game. River Plate kept 7 clean sheets, while San Lorenzo managed 9. Both teams scored in 5 of River Plate's games and 6 of San Lorenzo's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 5 of River Plate's matches and 3 of San Lorenzo's. At home, River Plate scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 0.8 goals. Away, San Lorenzo scores an average of 0.8 goals and concedes 0.6 goals.
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, there have been no wins for River Plate and no wins for San Lorenzo. All 3 encounters ended in a draw. The goal difference is even at 1:1. The last match between River Plate and San Lorenzo ended in a 0-0 draw on July 27, 2025.
关键球员
For River Plate, Facundo Colidio stands out with 3 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games (season average 3 goals, 1 assist) and a rising form trend. Sebastián Driussi scored 2 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games (season average 4 goals, 0 assists). Tomás Galván also showed a rising form with 2 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games (season average 2 goals, 1 assist).
For San Lorenzo, Rodrigo Auzmendi is relevant with 1 goal and 0 assists in the last 5 games (season average 3 goals, 0 assists). Manuel Insaurralde scored once in the last 5 games (season average 1 goal, 0 assists). Matías Reali contributed 0 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games (season average 0 goals, 1 assist).
门将
River Plate's goalkeeper, Santiago Beltrán, has recorded 7 clean sheets this season. San Lorenzo's goalkeeper Orlando Gill has managed 9 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
River Plate scores an average of 1.4 goals at home and concedes 0.8 goals, indicating a certain home advantage in offense. San Lorenzo scores an average of 0.8 goals away and concedes only 0.6 goals, suggesting a solid away defense. No data on weather influence or specific venue history is available.