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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Talleres Córdoba - Belgrano

05/09/2026, 07:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Talleres Córdoba
1.1
Total xG
1.9
Belgrano
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
TCBEL

Talleres Córdoba

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.03
全员可用

Belgrano

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
Franco Vázquez替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.44
-0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

35%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

65%

双方进球

39%

61%

关键因素
  • Slight favoritism for Talleres Córdoba with a home win probability of 40%
  • Talleres Córdoba has a more stable defense at home, conceding only 0.62 goals on average
  • Belgrano averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
风险因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a low-scoring game with only 1.09 expected home goals and 0.82 expected away goals
  • All 4 head-to-head matches historically ended in a draw, which could indicate another draw
概述

Talleres Córdoba (4th place, 26 points) host Belgrano (5th place, 26 points) in a crucial league match in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match will take place on May 9, 2026, 8:30 PM

Both teams have identical points and are fighting for higher league positions

近期状态

Talleres Córdoba shows stable form in their last five league games with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Their last encounter ended in a draw

Belgrano achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five league games

Belgrano won their last match

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Talleres Córdoba scores an average of 1.06 goals and concedes 0.81 goals per game this season

At home, they average 1.12 goals scored and 0.62 goals conceded

Belgrano also scores an average of 1.06 goals and concedes 0.81 goals per game

Away, their average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded

Talleres Córdoba kept 6 clean sheets, while Belgrano kept 8

Both teams scored in 8 of Talleres Córdoba's games and 6 of Belgrano's games

There were over 2.5 goals in 6 games for both teams

历史交锋

In the previous 4 head-to-head matches, there was neither a home win nor an away win

All 4 encounters ended in a draw

Talleres Córdoba and Belgrano each scored 1 goal

The last duel on March 15, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw

The head-to-head record is thus even

关键球员

For Talleres Córdoba, Ronaldo Martínez (3 goals, 1 assist), Alexandro Maidana (2 goals, 1 assist), and Augusto Schott (3 goals, 0 assists) are important attacking players

Ronaldo Martínez is in stable form with 1 goal in the last 5 games, Alexandro Maidana improved his form with 2 goals

For Belgrano, Lucas Zelarayán (4 goals, 1 assist), Lucas Passerini (0 goals, 4 assists), and Francisco González Metilli (2 goals, 0 assists) are crucial

Francisco González Metilli scored 1 goal in his last 3 appearances

门将

Guido Herrera of Talleres Córdoba recorded 6 clean sheets with a season average rating of 7.10

Thiago Cardozo of Belgrano achieved 8 clean sheets, with a season average rating of 6.97

影响因素

Talleres Córdoba shows a more stable defense at home with an average of 0.62 goals conceded

Belgrano concedes an average of 1.33 goals away

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