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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe

05/10/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
Independiente Rivadavia
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Unión Santa Fe
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
IRUSF

Independiente Rivadavia

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.29
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.25
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.08
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
+0.05
Leonel Bucca替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Alejo Osella替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Rodrigo Atencio替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Juan Elordi替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Gonzalo Ríos替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Leonard Costa替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Unión Santa Fe

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.54
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.44倍)
+0.24
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第1位, 相差7位)
-0.08
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.05
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.03
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.7球)
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

29%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

71%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Independiente Rivadavia leads the league and shows a positive form trend.
  • Independiente Rivadavia's strong home offense (1.9 goals per home game) meets Unión Santa Fe's weak away defense (1.67 goals conceded per away game).
  • The mathematical analysis assigns a clear favorite role for a home win with 48%.
风险因素
  • The probability of a draw is 29% according to mathematical analysis.
  • The head-to-head record is historically even, with the last encounter ending in a 2:2 draw.
概述

Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 34 points) host Unión Santa Fe (8th place, 21 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The match takes place on May 9, 2026, 9:30 PM. Independiente Rivadavia aims to solidify their top position, while Unión Santa Fe seeks to stay connected to the upper ranks.

近期状态

Independiente Rivadavia is in good form with WWDWD in their last five matches, consisting of 3 wins and 2 draws. Their last game was a draw (D 1-1 against Aldosivi).

Unión Santa Fe recently showed the form WLLDD, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their last two games ended in draws (D 1-1 against Talleres Córdoba and D 2-2 against Vélez Sarsfield).

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Independiente Rivadavia scored an average of 1.81 goals per game this season and conceded 0.94 goals. At home, they average 1.9 goals scored and 1 goal conceded. The team kept 4 clean sheets, both teams scored in 11 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 matches.

Unión Santa Fe averages 1.5 goals scored per game and concedes 1.25 goals. Away from home, the average is 1.44 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded. They achieved 5 clean sheets, both teams scored in 9 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 matches.

历史交锋

In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, each team secured 1 win and there was 1 draw. Independiente Rivadavia scored 4 goals, while Unión Santa Fe scored 3 goals. The last encounter on September 20, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw.

关键球员

For Independiente Rivadavia, Sebastián Villa (0 goals, 6 assists, 3 assists in last 5 games, rating 7.61), Fabrizio Sartori (6 goals, 1 goal in last 5 games, rating 6.66), and José Florentín (3 goals, 1 goal in last 5 games, rating 7.24) are important players.

At Unión Santa Fe, Julián Palacios (3 goals, 5 assists, 1 goal, 2 assists in last 5 games, rating 6.86), Cristian Tarragona (7 goals, 1 goal in last 5 games, rating 6.73), and Marcelo Estigarribia (4 goals, 2 goals in last 5 games, rating 7.07) are key figures.

门将

Nicolás Bolcato of Independiente Rivadavia played 15 season matches with an average rating of 6.81 and 4 clean sheets this season. In the last 5 games, his rating was 7.17.

Matías Mansilla of Unión Santa Fe made 16 season appearances with an average rating of 6.78 and 5 clean sheets this season. In the last 5 games, his rating was 6.23.

影响因素

Independiente Rivadavia shows strong offense at home, averaging 1.9 goals scored per home game. Unión Santa Fe concedes an average of 1.67 goals per away game.

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