Friendly International

Korea Republic - El Salvador

06/04/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Korea Republic
1.7
Total xG
2.7
El Salvador
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
KRES

Korea Republic

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.31
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第23位 vs 第90位, 相差67位)
+0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
Heung-min Son替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

El Salvador

排名劣势 (第90位 vs 第23位, 相差67位)
-0.17
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.05
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

27%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

73%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Favorite Role: The mathematical analysis clearly favors Korea Republic with a 54% home win probability and 1.73 predicted goals
  • Home Strength: Korea Republic won their last home game decisively 5-0 and averages 1.67 goals at home
  • Tactical Superiority: Korea Republic shows dominance in possession (57%) and averages 4.8 shots on target
风险因素
  • Limited Offense: El Salvador averaged only 2.5 shots on target in their last 2 games (few attempts)
  • Vulnerable Away Defense: El Salvador conceded an average of 2.0 goals per away game (based on one game)
概述

Korea Republic host El Salvador in a Friendly International at Seoul World Cup Stadium on June 4, 2026, 2:00 AM

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 54% probability

A draw is expected with 27% and an away win with 20%

近期状态

Korea Republic's form in their last five matches is WWLLW

This equates to 3 wins and 2 losses

El Salvador achieved two draws (DD) in their last two matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Korea Republic averages 1.67 goals scored per game and also concedes 1.67 goals per game

At home, the average is 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded

El Salvador averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded this season (based on one game)

Away from home, El Salvador averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded (based on one game)

The home team Korea Republic kept 1 clean sheet in 3 home games

At Seoul World Cup Stadium, an average of 5.0 goals were scored in one game

Both teams scored in 0 of 1 matches at this stadium

There was 1 of 1 matches with over 2.5 goals at Seoul World Cup Stadium

Korea Republic scores consistently (~1.7 goals per game) according to advanced statistics

El Salvador scores consistently (~1.5 goals per game)

历史交锋

There are no previous direct encounters between Korea Republic and El Salvador recorded in the available data

关键球员

For Korea Republic, Gue-sung Cho is an important attacker with 2 season goals

Hee-chan Hwang contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season

Dong-gyeong Lee has 1 assist this season

Not nominated for Korea Republic is Heung-min Son (2 goals/0 assists)

For El Salvador, Nathan Ordaz is an important attacker with 2 season goals

门将

Korea Republic's goalkeeper, Seung-gyu Kim, has 1 appearance this season

Korea Republic kept 1 clean sheet this season

El Salvador's goalkeeper, Mario González, had no appearances this season

El Salvador failed to keep a clean sheet this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Seoul World Cup Stadium

At Seoul World Cup Stadium, an average of 5.0 goals were scored in one game

At this stadium, both teams scored in 0 of 1 matches and there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 1 matches

Korea Republic scored an average of 1.67 goals at home and conceded 1.33 goals

El Salvador scored an average of 2.0 goals away and conceded 2.0 goals (based on one game)

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