Friendly International

Netherlands - Uzbekistan

06/08/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Netherlands
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Uzbekistan
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
NETUZB

Netherlands

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-1.04
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.61
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.16
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第54位, 相差47位)
+0.10
全员可用

Uzbekistan

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.54倍)
+0.60
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.46
排名劣势 (第54位 vs 第7位, 相差47位)
-0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.14
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1球)
-0.01
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

30%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

70%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Uzbekistan's low available goal production (only 33% of seasonal goals from the starting XI) could impact their offense
  • According to mathematical analysis, the Netherlands have a 46% home win probability and are expected to score 1.47 goals
  • The Johan Cruijff Arena favors high-scoring matches with an average of 3.4 goals per game and 100% Over 2.5
风险因素
  • The Netherlands have 67% of their seasonal goal production available through the current starting eleven
  • Limited data availability for Uzbekistan's xG values in their last 5 games
概述

The Netherlands host Uzbekistan in a Friendly International match at the Johan Cruijff Arena. The game is scheduled for June 8, 2026, 7:45 PM

近期状态

The Netherlands' recent form across all competitions is DWWDL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

Uzbekistan has also achieved DWWDL in their last five matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

The last game for both teams ended in a loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

The Netherlands averaged 1.0 home goals scored and 1.0 home goals conceded per game this season

Uzbekistan averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game this season

The Johan Cruijff Arena is known for high-scoring matches

An average of 3.4 goals per game were scored here, both teams scored in 80% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of games

历史交锋

There are no previous head-to-head encounters between these two teams in the dataset

关键球员

Virgil van Dijk (Defender) for the Netherlands scored 2 goals in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.07 and shows stable form

Donyell Malen (Attacker) contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games, his form is rising

Cody Gakpo (Attacker) recorded 1 goal in his last 5 games, his form is declining

Eldor Shomurodov (Attacker) for Uzbekistan scored 4 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.17, his form is rising

Oston Urunov (Attacker) contributed 2 goals in his last 4 games, his form is rising

Abbosbek Fayzullaev (Attacker) recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 4 games, his form is also rising

门将

Bart Verbruggen has played 2 season games in goal for the Netherlands

The team has kept 0 clean sheets so far

Utkir Yusupov has not played any games for Uzbekistan this season

Uzbekistan has achieved 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

The Netherlands' home advantage is supported by an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded at home

The Johan Cruijff Arena shows a high goal rate of 3.4 goals per game

In 80% of matches, both teams scored, and 100% ended with over 2.5 goals

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