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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata

05/14/2026, 12:45 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
River Plate
1.6
Total xG
2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

1:2

5%
xG 分解
RPGLP

River Plate

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.52倍)
+0.74
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.29
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.03
Ian Subiabre未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.5球)

Gimnasia La Plata

最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.02
Enzo Martínez未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

28%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

72%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for River Plate with a 53% probability
  • Gimnasia La Plata is in outstanding form with 5 consecutive wins
  • River Plate was possession-dominant in their last 5 games, averaging 6.0 shots on target
风险因素
  • Gimnasia La Plata had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Gimnasia La Plata averaged 3.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating limited offensive output
概述

River Plate (2nd place, 29 points) hosts Gimnasia La Plata (6th place, 26 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on May 14, 2026, 1:30 AM

River Plate is fighting for a top position, while Gimnasia La Plata aims to continue its upward trend

近期状态

River Plate's form in the last 5 games across all competitions is WLWLD

This represents 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against San Lorenzo

Gimnasia La Plata shows impressive form with WWWWW in their last 5 games

This includes 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses

Most recently, Gimnasia La Plata secured a 1-0 away win against Vélez Sarsfield

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

River Plate averages 1.41 goals scored and 0.82 goals conceded per game this season

At home, the average is 1.45 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded

The team kept 7 clean sheets

River Plate maintained a consistent scoring rate, averaging 1.4 goals per game recently

Gimnasia La Plata averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded per game

Away from home, the average is 1.12 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded

Gimnasia La Plata recorded 6 clean sheets

Gimnasia La Plata is scoring more frequently recently (1.4 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.25 goals per game), showing a positive trend

Both teams scored in 6 of River Plate's matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 matches

For Gimnasia La Plata, both teams scored in 7 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 matches

In their last 5 games, River Plate showed a dominant ball possession of 68% and averaged 6.0 shots on target

Gimnasia La Plata adopted a counter-attacking approach in their last 5 games with 44% possession and averaged 3.6 shots on target

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, River Plate claimed 2 wins, 1 draw, and Gimnasia La Plata secured 1 win

River Plate scored 6 goals, while Gimnasia La Plata scored 2 goals

River Plate won the last encounter 2-0 on January 28, 2026

River Plate has been dominant in recent meetings

关键球员

For River Plate, Facundo Colidio (3 goals, 1 assist, rising form trend) and Marcos Acuña (1 goal, 1 assist, rising form trend) are key offensive players

Gonzalo Montiel is also influential as a defender with 4 goals and 1 assist

For Gimnasia La Plata, Marcelo Torres stands out as the top scorer with 8 goals and 1 assist

Nicolás Barros Schelotto (3 goals, 3 assists) and Agustín Auzmendi (2 goals, 2 assists, rising form trend) are also important players

门将

River Plate's goalkeeper Santiago Beltrán recorded 7 clean sheets this season

Gimnasia La Plata's goalkeeper Nelson Insfrán kept 6 clean sheets

影响因素

River Plate averaged 1.45 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded in home games

Gimnasia La Plata averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded in away games

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