Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe
05/12/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Belgrano
Unión Santa Fe
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
32%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Mathematical Prediction: The model predicts a home win probability of 40% for Belgrano
- Form and Home Strength: Belgrano shows better form with 3 wins and only 1 loss in the last 5 games and a strong home defense with only 0.5 goals conceded on average
- Attacking Trend: Belgrano is currently scoring more often (1.5 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals), indicating a rising attacking performance
风险因素
- Short recovery time: Belgrano had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Short recovery time: Unión Santa Fe had only 2 days of rest since their last match
- Offensive output: Belgrano averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Belgrano (5th place, 26 points) host Unión Santa Fe (8th place, 21 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The match takes place on May 12, 2026, 7:00 PM. It's a clash between two mid-table teams.
近期状态
Belgrano shows a form of WDLWW from their last five games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Unión Santa Fe's form in all competitions is LLDDW (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Belgrano averages 1.06 goals scored and 0.76 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they score 1.1 goals and concede only 0.5 goals per match. Unión Santa Fe averages 1.53 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded. Away from home, they score 1.5 goals and concede 1.6 goals per match. Belgrano recorded 9 clean sheets, while Unión Santa Fe had 5. Both teams scored in 6 of Belgrano's games and 10 of Unión Santa Fe's. There were 6 Over 2.5 goals games for Belgrano and 9 for Unión Santa Fe.
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, there have been no wins for either team, but 3 draws. The goal difference is even at 2:2. The last encounter on November 17, 2025, ended in a 0:0 draw. The recent head-to-head record is even.
关键球员
For Belgrano, Francisco González Metilli showed rising form with 3 goals and 0 assists in 11 appearances (avg rating 7.06), scoring 2 goals in his last 3 games. Lucas Zelarayán contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in 15 appearances (avg rating 7.16), with recent declining form. Not nominated is Franco Vázquez (2 goals, 1 assist). For Unión Santa Fe, Cristian Tarragona stands out with 8 goals in 17 appearances (avg rating 7.11), including 2 goals in his last 5 games, though with declining form. Julián Palacios impressed with 3 goals and 6 assists in 16 appearances (avg rating 7.03), including 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games. Marcelo Estigarribia contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in 16 appearances (avg rating 7.12), with 2 goals in his last 5 games.
门将
Belgrano's goalkeeper Thiago Cardozo (17 appearances, avg rating 6.98) recorded 9 clean sheets this season, including 4 at home. Matías Mansilla, Unión Santa Fe's goalkeeper (17 appearances, avg rating 6.8), kept 5 clean sheets this season, but has yet to keep an away clean sheet.
影响因素
Belgrano shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.1 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded per home game. Unión Santa Fe averages 1.5 goals scored away but also concedes 1.6 goals per away game, suggesting a more open playing style on the road.