Liga MX
Cruz Azul - Guadalajara
05/14/2026, 02:00 AM
预期进球
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
10%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
31%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Guadalajara is missing a significant portion of goal threat, with key players only accounting for 76% of the usual starting XI's strength in goals and assists
- Cruz Azul is without an important player, reflected in a lineup-dependent goal threat of 95%
- Cruz Azul has shown clear dominance in head-to-head matches with 4 wins and 1 draw in 5 encounters
风险因素
- Guadalajara concedes an average of 1.87 goals per away game, indicating a defensive weakness on the road
- The pipeline predictions show a very balanced outcome with 34% for a home win, 31% for a draw, and 35% for an away win, increasing the unpredictability of the match result
概述
Cruz Azul (3rd place, 35 points) host Guadalajara (6th place, 29 points) in Liga MX on May 14, 2026, 4:00 AM
This top match will decide important positions in the upper third of the table
Cruz Azul aims to extend their lead over pursuers and stay at the top
Guadalajara is fighting for a better starting position for the playoffs
近期状态
Cruz Azul is in good form with "DDWWW" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team recorded 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches
Currently, Cruz Azul has a streak of 3 consecutive wins
Guadalajara recently showed the form "WDDLW" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games
Guadalajara won their last match
统计数据
Cruz Azul scores an average of 1.8 goals per game and concedes 1.1 goals
In home games, Cruz Azul is defensively more stable with an average of 1.82 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded
Cruz Azul kept a clean sheet in 11 season matches and 7 home matches
Guadalajara scores an average of 1.76 goals per game and concedes 1.18 goals
Away from home, Guadalajara scores 1.73 goals per game but concedes significantly more goals (1.87)
Guadalajara kept a clean sheet in 14 season matches and 4 away matches
Cruz Azul saw both teams score in 28 games and over 2.5 goals in 21 games
For Guadalajara, both teams scored in 19 games and there were over 2.5 goals in 23 games
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams, Cruz Azul dominated
Cruz Azul won 4 of these encounters, while Guadalajara recorded no wins
There was 1 draw between the teams
Cruz Azul scored a total of 8 goals, while Guadalajara managed 4 goals
The last head-to-head match ended on February 22, 2026, with a 2:1 victory for Cruz Azul
关键球员
For Cruz Azul, midfielder José Paradela stands out, contributing 10 goals and 9 assists in 40 season appearances, and scoring 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Osinachi Ebere is another important attacker with 3 season goals and 1 assist, including 2 goals in the last 5 matches
Midfielder Carlos Rodríguez scored 7 goals and 5 assists in 40 season appearances, but had no goal contributions in the last 5 games
For Guadalajara, midfielder Efraín Álvarez is a key player with 3 goals and 8 assists in 38 season appearances, contributing 1 assist in the last 5 games
Defender Bryan Alonso González Oliván contributed 6 goals and 5 assists in 38 games, including 2 goals in the last 5 matches
Midfielder Santiago Sandoval scored 5 goals and 1 assist in 31 season appearances, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
门将
For Cruz Azul, Kevin Mier is in goal, having played in 22 season matches
His team, Cruz Azul, achieved 11 clean sheets in the current season
For Guadalajara, Óscar Alexánder Whalley Guardado is in goal and featured in 4 season matches
Guadalajara recorded 14 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Cruz Azul shows a strong home advantage with an average of 1.82 goals scored and only 0.91 goals conceded in home matches
Guadalajara has a vulnerable defense away from home, conceding an average of 1.87 goals per away game