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Liga MX

Pachuca - Pumas UNAM

05/15/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Pachuca
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Pumas UNAM
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
PACPU

Pachuca

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.68
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.52
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
全员可用

Pumas UNAM

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.30
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.30
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.20
Juninho替补席 (8球, 4助攻)
Uriel Antuna替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.43
+0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

33%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

67%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 40% for Pachuca
  • Pumas UNAM shows a positive form development, currently scoring more frequently (2.8) than their season average (1.8)
  • Pachuca played counter-attacking football with an average of 37% possession in their last 5 games
风险因素
  • Pumas UNAM had only 4 days of rest since their last match
  • For Pumas UNAM, Juninho and Uriel Antuna are not in the lineup, accounting for 76% of the usual starting XI's goal production
  • Pachuca recorded an average of 4.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Pachuca (9th place, 22 points) host Pumas UNAM (10th place, 21 points) in a Liga MX clash on May 15, 2026, 2:00 AM.

Both teams are in the mid-table, and a victory could help them close the gap to the top positions.

近期状态

Pachuca's last 5 games show a form of 'WLLWW', which translates to 3 wins and 2 losses (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss).

Pachuca recently secured 2 consecutive wins.

Pumas UNAM's form in their last 5 matches is 'WWWDD', consisting of 3 wins and 2 draws.

They have drawn their last 2 matches consecutively.

统计数据

Pachuca averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded per game this season.

At home, they score 1.4 goals and concede 0.95 goals per game.

Pumas UNAM averages 1.76 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded per game.

Away from home, they score 1.78 goals and concede 1.61 goals per game.

Pachuca has kept 9 clean sheets, while Pumas UNAM has 10.

Both teams scored in 20 of Pachuca's games and 25 of Pumas UNAM's games.

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3 times, Pumas UNAM won 2 times, with no draws.

The goal difference in these encounters is balanced at 8:8.

The last match on April 25, 2026, saw Pumas UNAM win 2-0 away.

Pachuca was noted as recently dominant in the direct duels.

关键球员

Pachuca:

Enner Valencia (Attacker) scored 8 seasonal goals and provided 1 assist, with 3 goals in his last 5 games.

Kenedy (Attacker) has 9 seasonal goals and 2 assists, scoring 2 goals in the last 5 matches.

Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán (Midfielder) contributed 5 seasonal goals and 7 assists.

Pumas UNAM:

Robert Morales (Attacker) scored 8 seasonal goals and 2 assists, with 3 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games.

Jordán Carrillo (Attacker) has 5 seasonal goals and 3 assists, scoring 3 goals and assisting 2 in his last 5 games.

Pedro Vite (Midfielder) recorded 3 seasonal goals and 1 assist, with 1 assist in his last 5 matches.

门将

Pachuca's goalkeeper Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna has made 37 season appearances with 0 goals scored.

Pumas UNAM's goalkeeper Keylor Navas has 34 season appearances.

Pachuca has 9 clean sheets, and Pumas UNAM has achieved 10 clean sheets.

影响因素

Pachuca shows a stable home performance, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded per game.

Pumas UNAM averages 1.78 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded per away match.

No specific data on venue history or weather conditions is available.

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