Liga MX
Guadalajara - Cruz Azul
05/17/2026, 01:07 AM
预期进球
1.3
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
10%1:0
9%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
31%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Cruz Azul's current form (3 wins, 2 draws) is significantly better compared to Guadalajara's (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)
- Cruz Azul dominated recent head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 2 draws out of 5 encounters
- The mathematical analysis predicts a tight match with a home win probability of 37% for Guadalajara
风险因素
- Both teams have a short recovery period of 3 days since their last match
- Guadalajara's goal production is currently stagnating (1.7 goals), while the season average is 2.0 goals
概述
Guadalajara (6th place, 29 points) host Cruz Azul (3rd place, 35 points) in a Liga MX match on May 17, 2026, 3:07 AM. Guadalajara is aiming for a better position in the top half of the table, while Cruz Azul seeks to solidify their spot in the top 3.
近期状态
Guadalajara's current form across all competitions is DDLWD, which translates to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Their last match ended in a draw. Cruz Azul's form is DWWWD, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses from their last 5 fixtures. Their last game also resulted in a draw.
统计数据
Guadalajara averages 1.77 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per season. At home, they average 1.78 goals scored and only 0.74 goals conceded. The team kept 14 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 20 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 24 games. Cruz Azul averages 1.80 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded per game. Away, they score an average of 1.78 goals and concede 1.33 goals. They kept 11 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 29 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 22 games.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara has no wins, while Cruz Azul secured 3 victories, and 2 games ended in a draw. The goal difference is 6:9 in favor of Cruz Azul. The last encounter on May 14, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw. Cruz Azul has been the more dominant team in recent direct clashes.
关键球员
For Guadalajara, Santiago Sandoval is in rising form, with 3 goals in his last 5 games. Efraín Álvarez has scored 3 goals and provided 8 assists this season. Bryan Alonso González Oliván is an important defender with 6 season goals and 5 assists. For Cruz Azul, José Paradela stands out with 10 goals and 10 assists, showing stable form with 2 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 matches. Osinachi Ebere is also in good form, with 3 goals in his last 5 games and 4 season goals. Carlos Rotondi has scored 5 season goals and provided 7 assists, showing rising form. Not nominated for Guadalajara: Ricardo Marín (3G/2A).
门将
For Guadalajara, Óscar Alexánder Whalley Guardado is the goalkeeper, having played in 5 matches. Guadalajara recorded 14 clean sheets. For Cruz Azul, Kevin Mier is in goal, with 23 appearances this season. Cruz Azul achieved 11 clean sheets.
影响因素
Guadalajara demonstrates defensive stability at home, with an average of 1.78 goals scored and only 0.74 goals conceded. Cruz Azul scores an average of 1.78 goals and concedes 1.33 goals away from home.