Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano
05/17/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.2
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
14%0:0
12%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Argentinos Juniors
Belgrano
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
31%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Home team Argentinos Juniors shows a very strong home defense with an average of 0.33 goals conceded per home game
- Argentinos Juniors is in good form with 4 wins in their last 5 league matches
- The mathematical model predicts a home win with 49% probability and a double chance (home win or draw) with 80% probability
风险因素
- Belgrano shows strong current form with 3 consecutive wins in recent matches
- The model predicts a low-scoring game, with only a 39% probability for over 2.5 goals
- Argentinos Juniors has several players sidelined due to cruciate ligament tears, including M. Giménez Rojas, J. Gho, and E. Rodríguez
概述
Argentinos Juniors (3rd place, 29 points) host Belgrano (5th place, 26 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The match takes place on May 17, 2026, 10:00 PM
Both teams are in the upper third of the table and are fighting for a better position
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Argentinos Juniors shows good form with WWLWW in the last 5 matches
This corresponds to 4 wins and 1 loss
The home team has won its last two matches consecutively
Belgrano's form in the last 5 games is DLWWW
These are 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Belgrano is currently on a streak of 3 consecutive wins
统计数据
Argentinos Juniors averages 1.11 goals scored and 0.72 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they average 1.08 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per home game
Argentinos Juniors kept 10 clean sheets this season, 8 of them at home
Belgrano also has a season average of 1.11 goals and 0.72 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Belgrano averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per away game
Belgrano achieved 10 clean sheets this season, 5 of them away
Argentinos Juniors' tactical analysis in the last 5 games shows a possession-dominant approach with an average of 61% possession and Ø 4.6 shots on target
Belgrano played a balanced game in their last 5 matches with an average of 53% possession and Ø 4.0 shots on target
Argentinos Juniors scores consistently (~1.3 goals per game)
Belgrano is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.3)
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, there has been 1 win for Argentinos Juniors, 1 win for Belgrano, and 2 draws
Both teams scored 2 goals each in these encounters
The last meeting on February 3, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw
The head-to-head record is even
关键球员
For Argentinos Juniors, Tomás Molina is an important offensive player with 4 season goals, 3 of which came in the last 5 games
Alan Lescano has scored 3 season goals and shows stable form
Francisco Álvarez, as a defender, contributed 2 season goals and 1 goal in the last 5 games
For Belgrano, Lucas Zelarayán is a key player with 4 season goals
Francisco González Metilli has scored 3 season goals, 2 of them in the last 5 games
Lucas Passerini is an important assist provider with 5 season assists and 2 assists in the last 3 games
门将
Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández, the goalkeeper for Argentinos Juniors, played in 18 season matches and recorded 10 clean sheets
He kept a clean sheet 8 times in home games
Thiago Cardozo, Belgrano's goalkeeper, also played 18 season matches and achieved 10 clean sheets
5 of these games were away matches without conceding a goal
影响因素
Argentinos Juniors shows a clear home advantage, scoring an average of 1.08 goals at home and conceding only 0.33 goals
This indicates a very strong home defense