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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

River Plate - Rosario Central

05/16/2026, 10:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
River Plate
1.5
Total xG
2.6
Rosario Central
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
RPRC

River Plate

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.43倍)
+0.41
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.04
Marcos Acuña替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.8球 vs 总体1.5球)

Rosario Central

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍)
+0.29
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.13
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.13
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.07
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

29%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

71%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Rosario Central shows positive form development with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games.
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for River Plate with a 44% probability.
  • River Plate is offensively strong at home, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per home game.
风险因素
  • River Plate had only 2 days of rest since their last match.
  • Rosario Central had only 3 days of rest since their last match.
概述

River Plate (2nd place, 29 points) host Rosario Central (4th place, 28 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The match takes place on May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM. Both teams are positioned in the upper half of the table, vying for top spots.

近期状态

River Plate's form is LWLDW, which translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a win. Rosario Central is currently in better shape with a form of WWDWW, achieving 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games. They have won their last two matches. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

River Plate has scored an average of 1.44 goals per game and conceded 0.78 goals this season. At home, they are stable with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded. Rosario Central averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game. Away from home, they score 1.43 goals and concede 1.29 goals on average. River Plate kept 8 clean sheets, while Rosario Central recorded 4. Both teams scored in 6 of River Plate's games and in 12 of Rosario Central's games.

历史交锋

In the 4 head-to-head matches between the two teams, the record is even. River Plate won 1 game, Rosario Central also won 1 game, and 2 matches ended in a draw. River Plate scored 7 goals and conceded 4. The last encounter on February 2, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw.

关键球员

For River Plate, Facundo Colidio (3 goals, 2 assists, avg. 6.75) stands out with a rising form (1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) and Sebastián Driussi (5 goals, avg. 7.1) with 2 goals in the last 5 matches. Lucas Martínez Quarta (2 goals, avg. 7.01) also shows rising form with 1 goal in the last 5 games. For Rosario Central, Ángel Di María (5 goals, 4 assists, avg. 7.51) is crucial with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 4 games. Enzo Copetti (5 goals, avg. 6.76) scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches. Gastón Ávila (2 goals, 1 assist, avg. 7.03) contributed with 1 goal in the last 5 games.

门将

Santiago Beltrán is the goalkeeper for River Plate, recording 8 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.93. For Rosario Central, Conan Ledesma is in goal, achieving 4 clean sheets and an average rating of 6.86.

影响因素

River Plate performs well at home, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded per home game. Rosario Central scores 1.43 goals and concedes 1.29 goals per away game. The data available for venue history and weather conditions is limited.

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