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Eredivisie

Ajax - FC Utrecht

05/24/2026, 10:15 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Ajax
1.4
Total xG
2.9
FC Utrecht
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
AJAFU

Ajax

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.11
Wout Weghorst替补席 (8球, 4助攻)

FC Utrecht

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.05
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.03
V. Jensen未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

27%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • FC Utrecht is in strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 games, contrasting with Ajax's mixed results
  • FC Utrecht has dominated recent head-to-head matches, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters, including the last game at Kras Stadion
  • The mathematical analysis suggests a slight away win, with a 40% probability for FC Utrecht
风险因素
  • Both teams have had only 3 days rest since their last match, indicating potential fatigue
  • FC Utrecht concedes an average of 2.07 goals per away game, highlighting a defensive weakness
  • The absence of V. Jensen for FC Utrecht means a loss of 5 season goals, accounting for 13.7% of their goal production
概述

Ajax (5th place, 56 points) host FC Utrecht (6th place, 53 points) at Kras Stadion

Eredivisie match on May 24, 2026, 12:15 PM

Both teams are battling for a higher league position

近期状态

Ajax's form across all competitions is WDLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Ajax has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games

FC Utrecht's form is LWWWW

They have 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games

统计数据

Ajax scores an average of 1.83 goals per game and concedes 1.17 goals this season

At home, the average is 1.79 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded

FC Utrecht scores an average of 1.66 goals per game and concedes 1.26 goals

Away, this figure is 1.71 goals scored and 2.07 goals conceded

Both teams scored in 23 Ajax matches and 21 Utrecht matches

20 Ajax games and 18 Utrecht games ended with over 2.5 goals

The last 5 games at Kras Stadion have seen an average of 2.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and 2 of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax has 1 win, 1 draw, and FC Utrecht has 3 wins

The goal difference is 6:10 in favor of FC Utrecht

The last encounter on May 10, 2026, ended with a 1-2 away win for FC Utrecht

FC Utrecht has been the more dominant team in recent direct clashes

关键球员

Mika Godts is a key offensive player for Ajax with 17 goals and 13 assists in 33 season appearances

Davy Klaassen contributed 7 goals and 2 assists in 30 season appearances

Steven Berghuis scored 4 goals and 2 assists in 20 season appearances

For FC Utrecht, Gjivai Zechiâl is crucial with 8 goals and 7 assists in 35 season appearances

Souffian El Karouani has provided 3 goals and 12 assists in 33 season appearances

Dani de Wit scored 7 goals and 3 assists in 28 season appearances

门将

Maarten Paes is the goalkeeper for Ajax and has no goals or assists in 12 appearances

Ajax has kept 11 clean sheets this season

Vasilios Barkas is the goalkeeper for FC Utrecht, with no goals or assists in 34 appearances

FC Utrecht has achieved 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Ajax has a record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses (14:8 goals) on artificial turf

FC Utrecht has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses (8:11 goals) on artificial turf

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