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Liga MX

Cruz Azul - Pumas UNAM

05/22/2026, 02:00 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Cruz Azul
1.4
Total xG
2.4
Pumas UNAM
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
CAPU

Cruz Azul

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
+0.05

Pumas UNAM

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.30
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.16
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第3位, 相差7位)
-0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.02
Adalberto Carrasquilla替补席 (2球, 6助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

30%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

70%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Significant performance gap: Cruz Azul (3rd place) hosts Pumas UNAM (10th place)
  • Cruz Azul's current top form (WWWDW) compared to Pumas UNAM's mixed form (WDDLW)
  • Mathematical analysis: Pipeline predicts 47% home win probability and 77% for home double chance (win or draw)
风险因素
  • Pumas UNAM managed a 2-2 draw in the last head-to-head, indicating a risk of shared points
  • Pumas UNAM averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, suggesting limited offensive penetration
概述

Cruz Azul (3rd place, 35 points) host Pumas UNAM (10th place, 21 points) in a Liga MX match. The game takes place on May 22, 2026, 2:00 AM. Cruz Azul aims to solidify its top position, while Pumas UNAM is in the middle of the table. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 47% probability.

近期状态

Cruz Azul's current form across all competitions is WWWDW. The team secured 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches. Cruz Azul won their last game 2-1 away against Guadalajara. Before that, there was a 2-2 home draw against Guadalajara and a 1-0 home win against Atlas. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

Pumas UNAM's current form across all competitions is WDDLW. Pumas UNAM achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Pumas UNAM won their last game 1-0 at home against Pachuca. This was preceded by a 0-1 away loss against Pachuca and two 3-3 draws against América.

统计数据

Cruz Azul averages 1.81 goals scored per game and concedes 1.12 goals. At home, they average 1.83 goals scored and 0.96 goals conceded per home game. Cruz Azul has kept 11 clean sheets this season and 30 games have seen both teams score.

Pumas UNAM averages 1.69 goals scored per game and concedes 1.33 goals. Away from home, they average 1.68 goals scored and 1.58 goals conceded per away game. Pumas UNAM has kept 11 clean sheets this season and 25 games have seen both teams score.

Cruz Azul is currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.9). Pumas UNAM is scoring consistently (~1.8 goals per game).

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul recorded 2 wins, Pumas UNAM 1 win, and there were 2 draws. The goal difference is 11:9 in favor of Cruz Azul. The last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on March 15, 2026. Cruz Azul has been more dominant in recent direct duels.

关键球员

For Cruz Azul, José Paradela (10 goals, 10 assists this season, 2 goals, 3 assists in last 5 games) and Carlos Rodríguez (8 goals, 6 assists this season, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) are key performers. Osinachi Ebere shows rising form with 3 goals in the last 5 games.

For Pumas UNAM, Jordán Carrillo (6 goals, 3 assists this season, 3 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games) and Juninho (8 goals, 4 assists this season, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) are crucial. Robert Morales contributed 8 goals and 2 assists this season, along with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Adalberto Carrasquilla (2 goals, 6 assists) is not nominated.

门将

Cruz Azul's goalkeeper, Kevin Mier, has played in 24 season appearances. The team has achieved a total of 11 clean sheets.

For Pumas UNAM, goalkeeper Keylor Navas has been on the field in 36 season appearances. The team also recorded 11 clean sheets.

影响因素

Cruz Azul proves to be offensively strong and defensively stable at home, averaging 1.83 goals scored and 0.96 goals conceded. Pumas UNAM concedes an average of 1.58 goals per away game.

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