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Liga MX

Pumas UNAM - Cruz Azul

05/25/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
Pumas UNAM
1.1
Total xG
2.6
Cruz Azul
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
PUCA

Pumas UNAM

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.10
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第3位, 相差7位)
-0.09
J. Macías Guzmán未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)

Cruz Azul

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.09
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
+0.05
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.03
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

29%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

71%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Cruz Azul with 42% probability
  • Cruz Azul is unbeaten in their last five games (3 wins, 2 draws), while Pumas show mixed form
  • Cruz Azul averaged 6.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to Pumas' 2.8
风险因素
  • Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match, potentially leading to fatigue
  • Pumas UNAM averaged 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Two of the last five head-to-head matches ended in a draw, including the most recent 0-0 game
概述

Pumas UNAM (10th place, 21 points) host Cruz Azul (3rd place, 35 points) in a Liga MX match. The game takes place on May 25, 2026, 2:00 AM. Pumas aim to climb the table, while Cruz Azul seeks to solidify their position at the top.

近期状态

Pumas UNAM has shown a form of DDLWD in their last five games. This includes 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Their last match ended in a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

Cruz Azul presents a form of WWDWD in their last five fixtures. They recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, with no losses. Their last game also ended in a draw.

统计数据

Pumas UNAM averages 1.65 goals scored per game and concedes 1.30 goals per game over the season. In home games, the average is 1.62 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded. The team kept 12 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 25 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 matches.

Cruz Azul has a season average of 1.77 goals scored per game and 1.09 goals conceded. Away from home, they averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded. They also achieved 12 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 30 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 23 matches.

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pumas UNAM secured 1 win, while Cruz Azul won 2 games. 2 matches ended in a draw. Pumas scored 7 goals and Cruz Azul scored 9 goals. The most recent encounter on May 22, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw.

关键球员

Jordán Carrillo (Attacker) of Pumas UNAM has scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he showed rising form with 3 goals and 1 assist.

Juninho (Attacker) contributed 8 goals and 4 assists this season. In his last 5 appearances, he recorded 1 goal and 1 assist.

Robert Morales (Attacker) has scored 8 goals and provided 2 assists this season.

José Paradela (Midfielder) of Cruz Azul has been involved in 10 goals and 10 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists, showing stable form.

Carlos Rodríguez (Midfielder) has 8 goals and 6 assists this season. He contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games.

Agustín Palavecino (Midfielder) recorded 6 goals and 3 assists this season. He scored 1 goal in the last 5 games.

门将

Keylor Navas of Pumas UNAM played in 36 season matches. The team kept a clean sheet in 12 games.

Kevin Mier of Cruz Azul made 24 season appearances. His team also kept 12 clean sheets, indicating a higher clean sheet ratio per game.

影响因素

Pumas UNAM averages 1.62 goals scored at home and concedes 1.05 goals. Cruz Azul averages 1.79 goals scored away and concedes 1.32 goals.

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