World Cup

Sweden - Tunisia

06/15/2026, 02:00 AM

5 : 1
预期进球
Sweden
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Tunisia
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

0:1

8%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
SWETUN

Sweden

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.56
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.15
排名优势 (第32位 vs 第46位, 相差14位)
+0.10

Tunisia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.31倍)
-1.16
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.71
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.30
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.28
排名劣势 (第46位 vs 第32位, 相差14位)
-0.19

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.7球)
+1.19
+1.19
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

25%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

75%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Tunisia's exceptional defensive record with 0 goals conceded and 10 clean sheets in 10 season games, including 5 away clean sheets
  • Sweden's positive recent attacking form with 2.0 goals per game, contrasted with Tunisia's recent struggle in goal production (0.5 goals per game)
  • Estadio BBVA Bancomer shows a tendency for high-scoring games with an average of 3.6 goals and 100% Over 2.5 in observed matches
风险因素
  • Tunisia recently conceded 5 goals in their last game against Belgium, indicating a potential defensive vulnerability
  • Tunisia's low average of 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games suggests limited offensive threat
  • Sweden's season average of 1.88 goals conceded per game (2.0 in home games) highlights defensive weaknesses
概述

Sweden faces Tunisia at Estadio BBVA Bancomer in their opening World Cup group stage match

The game is scheduled for June 15, 2026, 2:00 AM

Both teams start with zero points, aiming for a strong start to the tournament

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Sweden's form over the last five games is DWWLD

They recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Recent results include a 2-2 draw against Greece and a 1-3 loss against Norway

Tunisia's form over the last five games is DWDLL

They achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Recent results include a 0-5 loss against Belgium and a 0-1 loss against Austria

统计数据

Sweden scored an average of 1.25 goals per game this season and conceded 1.88 goals

They kept 0 clean sheets in 8 games

Both teams scored in 5 of 8 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 games

Tunisia showed strong offense with an average of 2.2 goals per game and an impressive record of 0 goals conceded per game

They kept 10 clean sheets in 10 games

Both teams did not score in any of the 10 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 games

Estadio BBVA Bancomer recorded an average of 3.6 goals in the observed matches

In all 5 games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals

The tactical analysis indicates that Sweden is currently scoring more frequently (2.0 goals on average) than their season average (1.6 goals)

Tunisia's goal production has recently stalled (0.5 goals on average), while their season average is 1.3 goals

历史交锋

The dataset does not list any previous head-to-head matches between Sweden and Tunisia

关键球员

For Sweden, Alexander Isak (2 goals in 201 minutes, average rating 6.89), Benjamin Nygren (1 goal in 346 minutes, average rating 6.90), and Viktor Gyökeres (1 goal in 258 minutes, average rating 6.71) show solid form

For Tunisia, Hannibal (1 assist, average rating 7.08), Anis Slimane (1 assist, average rating 6.62), and Montassar Talbi (average rating 6.67) stand out

门将

For Sweden, Kristoffer Nordfeldt is in goal, who has not recorded any clean sheets this season

For Tunisia, Abdelmouhib Chamakh is listed as goalkeeper, with the team achieving 10 clean sheets this season, 5 of which were in away games

影响因素

Sweden's home goals average 1.33 per game, while they conceded 2.0 home goals

Tunisia scored an average of 2.25 goals away and conceded 0.0 goals

Estadio BBVA Bancomer is known for high-scoring games with an average of 3.6 goals per match

All observed matches at the stadium resulted in both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals

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