World Cup

Côte d'Ivoire - Ecuador

06/14/2026, 11:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Côte d'Ivoire
1.0
Total xG
2.2
Ecuador
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

12%

1:0

9%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
CDECU

Côte d'Ivoire

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.97
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
-0.83
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.44
排名劣势 (第44位 vs 第24位, 相差20位)
-0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.00

Ecuador

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.86
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.62
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.20
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.20
排名优势 (第24位 vs 第44位, 相差20位)
+0.09

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.60
+0.60
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

32%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

68%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Ecuador's Favoritism: Mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 41% probability and expected goals of 1.25 versus 0.99 for Côte d'Ivoire
  • Ecuador's Defensive Strength: Ecuador recorded an impressive 13 clean sheets in 18 games this season, conceding an average of only 0.28 goals
  • Current Form Trend: Both teams show positive form, Côte d'Ivoire with 4 consecutive wins and Ecuador unbeaten in their last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for head-to-head matches, as no previous encounters are recorded
概述

Côte d'Ivoire hosts Ecuador at Lincoln Financial Field in a World Cup match on June 15, 2026, 1:00 AM.

Both teams start in Group X, with Côte d'Ivoire in 2nd place and Ecuador in 3rd place, both with 0 points.

This encounter marks the start of the tournament for both nations

近期状态

Côte d'Ivoire's form across all competitions is LWWWW.

The team recorded 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, with 4 consecutive wins.

Ecuador's form is WDDWW.

They achieved 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, with 2 consecutive wins.

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Côte d'Ivoire is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.6), indicating a positive form trend.

Ecuador is also currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.5), also showing a positive form trend

统计数据

Côte d'Ivoire averaged 2.5 goals scored per game this season and conceded an average of 0.0 goals.

They kept 10 clean sheets in 10 games.

Ecuador averaged 0.78 goals scored per game this season and conceded an average of 0.28 goals.

They kept 13 clean sheets in 18 games.

Côte d'Ivoire recorded an average of 3.8 shots on target with 48% possession in their last 5 matches.

Ecuador was possession-dominant in their last 5 matches with 60% possession and an average of 5.0 shots on target

历史交锋

There are no previous head-to-head matches between Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador in the provided dataset

关键球员

For Côte d'Ivoire, Bazoumana Touré (2 goals, 1 assist in 5 games) and Guela Doué (1 goal, 2 assists in 5 games) are important offensive players.

Nicolas Pépé contributed 3 assists in 4 games.

For Ecuador, Enner Valencia (2 goals in 5 games) and Alan Minda (2 goals in 5 games) stand out.

John Yeboah contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 games

门将

Yahia Fofana (Côte d'Ivoire) kept 10 clean sheets in 10 season games.

Hernán Galíndez  (Ecuador) achieved 13 clean sheets in 18 games

影响因素

Côte d'Ivoire performed particularly strongly in home games, with an average of 2.5 goals scored and 0.0 goals conceded.

Ecuador averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded away from home

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