World Cup

Spain - Cape Verde Islands

06/15/2026, 04:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Spain
3.3
Total xG
3.8
Cape Verde Islands
0.5
最可能的比分

3:0

14%

4:0

12%

5:0

8%

3:1

6%

2:1

6%
xG 分解
SPACVI

Spain

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均4.1球)
-3.52
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.73
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.62倍)
+0.69
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.44
状态下滑 (2.2 vs 3.3 赛季平均)
-0.30
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第70位, 相差69位)
+0.23

Cape Verde Islands

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均0.7球)
+0.69
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.23倍)
-0.27
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.09
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.09
排名劣势 (第70位 vs 第1位, 相差69位)
-0.08

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4.9球)
+2.36
+2.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

90%

平局

8%

客胜

2%

进球数

Over 1.5

90%

Under 1.5

10%

Over 2.5

73%

Under 2.5

27%

Over 3.5

52%

Under 3.5

48%

双重机会

主胜或平局

98%

客胜或平局

10%

非平局

92%

双方进球

36%

64%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Spain with a 90% probability and 3.34 expected goals
  • Spain's seasonal strength is evident with an average of 3.5 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per game
  • Cape Verde Islands show a positive form trend in goal-scoring, currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.7)
风险因素
  • The limited head-to-head data prevents a historical analysis of previous encounters
  • Spain's recent goal production has slowed, averaging 2.3 goals compared to their season average of 3.1
  • Cape Verde Islands have a positive record on artificial turf with 1 win and 1 draw in 2 games (1:0 goals)
概述

Spain (1st place, 0 points) faces Cape Verde Islands (2nd place, 0 points) at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This World Cup match takes place on June 15, 2026, 5:00 PM. Both teams are starting their tournament campaign, vying for the first points in the group stage.

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Spain's form across all competitions is DWDDW

This includes 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses

The last result was a 3-1 away win against Peru

Cape Verde Islands show the form DLDWW in recent matches

This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

The last result was a 3-0 home win against Bermuda

Cape Verde Islands have achieved two consecutive wins recently, while Spain secured a win after a series of draws

统计数据

Spain has a strong offense this season, averaging 3.5 goals per game

Their defense is also very solid, conceding an average of 0.33 goals per game

Spain kept 5 clean sheets and saw over 2.5 goals in 5 out of 6 games

In home games, Spain scores an average of 4.0 goals and concedes 1.0 goal

Cape Verde Islands average 1.6 goals scored per game and concede 0.8 goals

Cape Verde Islands kept 7 clean sheets and saw over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 10 games

In away games, Cape Verde Islands average 1.67 goals scored and concede 1.33 goals

The Mercedes-Benz Stadium averages 3.2 total goals per match

In 4 out of 5 matches at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were seen in 4 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

No head-to-head data is available for Spain versus Cape Verde Islands

关键球员

For Spain, Ferran Torres (2 goals, 2 assists in 5 games), Pedri (1 goal, 1 assist in 3 games), and Mikel Oyarzabal (1 goal, 1 assist in 4 games) are key players

For Cape Verde Islands, Jovane Cabral stands out with 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 games

Other important players include Jamiro Monteiro (0 goals, 1 assist in 3 games) and Dailon Livramento (0 goals, 1 assist in 4 games)

门将

Spain's goalkeeper, Unai Simón, played 3 of the last 5 games

Spain has kept 5 clean sheets this season

Cape Verde Islands' goalkeeper, Vozinha, played 1 of the last 5 games

Cape Verde Islands have recorded 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, a venue that averages 3.2 goals per game

In this stadium, both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches

The playing surface is artificial turf

There is no data for Spain's performance on artificial turf

Cape Verde Islands have a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses on artificial turf with a 1:0 goal difference

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